Friday, August 28, 2026
From X
Clark Square Capital on X
Interesting development at $GRVY https://t.co/xvjalTHgN7
Chris Camillo on X
@PostmodernRogue @fkon1u @DumbMoneyTV what exactly do you think is priced in? >37M launch-quarter units? >45M? >50M? what ARPU? “priced in” isn’t an argument without numbers. There is upside and downside. Been crushing $TTWO GTA trades since ’99. Always happy to compare notes.
Timyan Bank Alert on X
Stilwell’s shareholder proposal for $CPBI overwhelmingly passed. I’m not the only one who found it brilliant. https://t.co/5ysX64Oj6T
SG on X
On the daily chart, $SB #sugar looks like it ran too far too fast. Zoom out though and you get a better picture of exactly how far the commodity can move in an uptrend. Staying long. https://t.co/31XQLMRcCZ
PAA Research on X
DRAM sentiment cooled after Nvidia’s reported $160 billion quarter-on-quarter supply and purchase agreements, testing a crowded memory-chip trade.
SG on X
I know one company that won't be sad August is coming to an end $BURL https://t.co/uOtSFz7nCf
David Orr on X
Google, Amazon and Microsoft rose after the earnings beat, while lower-cost neocloud compute providers could offer stronger risk-adjusted returns.
David Orr on X
$SOXX $NVDA down since the big beat... sure looks like a news failure event. I think it'll be electricity bottlenecks that kill the AI hardware bubble. The hyperscalers controlling that bottleneck should be the biggest winner.
Investor Letters
All letters- Palm Harbour Capital July 2026 064850 $136M
- Protean Funds July 2026 DVYSR $105M
- Sequoia Fund First Half of 2026
- Hayden Capital Q2 2026 AMZN $2.8T
- Royce Investment Partners Year-to-Date Through 6/30/26 AAP $2.6B
- Maran Capital Management second quarter SPCX
- Intrepid Capital 2Q 2026
- Polaris Capital Management Second Quarter 2026 ENI $80B
Meta Buys Away its Distraction at Minimal Cost
Meta’s $18 billion teen-addiction settlement makes $5.3 billion contingent on YouTube and TikTok adopting matching restrictions, while…
SK Hynix: Higher Revenue Than Micron, Cheaper Than Micron (Initiating Buy)
Making sense of Sandisk’s long-term financial model
Sandisk’s FY28-FY30 model relies on long-term NAND agreements holding near-80% gross-margin floors despite pricing 26-28% below current…
Late August 2026 Random Ramblings
Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven…
The Verra Sneerer (NASDAQ:VRRM)
Verra Mobility renewed Hertz tolling management for five years. AutoKinex lets rental customers buy tolling, fuel and protection products…
Nvidia Climbing the Wall of Worries
Nvidia guided FY2028 revenue toward $700 billion, roughly 70% growth, while supply constraints and neocloud demand face concerns over…
Domo (Arigato), for this potential multi-bagger options trade
Domo’s $400 million sale to Progress would leave a cash-rich public shell with $900 million of NOLs; January 2028 $5 calls cost 22 cents.
Nvidia’s Long-Term Margin Question
Nvidia faces questions over the durability of its long-term profit margins ahead of earnings.
[scuttleslops] AI Data Center Economics, ADI, INTU, IDXX
AWS AI campuses cost $40–$45 billion per gigawatt, with Trainium 3 expected to lift compute per megawatt and improve infrastructure returns.
Atlas Engineered Products ($AEP.V) FINS Review
Atlas Engineered Products reported Q2 revenue up 19% to $16.2 million, but ended cashless on its credit line as inventory rose 47% and…
[ZTS] Zoetis could use a booster shot
Zoetis’ pet-drug blockbusters have shifted its mix from low-growth livestock medicines to durable companion-animal franchises with softer…
Apollo and what even is private credit?
Apollo’s Marc Rowan argues private-credit risk depends on underwriting, seniority, leverage and diversification, not whether a bank or fund…
[VRSK] Verisk has standards
Verisk’s exit from healthcare, financial-services and energy data restored a pure-play insurance analytics model, but D.E.
[scuttleslops] SPOT, UMG, TXN, SPGI, TRU, ADSK, MTCH, CSGP, DLTR
Spotify and Universal Music Group will offer licensed AI song covers and remixes as a Premium add-on, with artist opt-in and royalty…
IAC and MGM update: part 2
IAC’s spin-off model produced outsized wins in Expedia and Ticketmaster alongside costly disappointments in Vimeo, Match, LendingTree and…
IAC and MGM update: part 1
IAC’s $2.1 billion MGM stake now equals 35% of its market value after Angi, Care.com and other digital bets faltered; MGM shares nearly…
[RDVT] Red Violet and the Identity Resolution Mafia
Red Violet CEO Derek Dubner and CSO Ole Poulsen came from Hank Asher’s Seisint, a Florida identity-resolution data-mining firm.
PayPal tries again (and again)
Stripe’s startup-focused product sprawl contrasts with Adyen’s enterprise restraint; despite 20% more payment volume and faster growth,…
Is the Airline Industry Really That Bad? – AerCap and A Case of Sandbagged Guidance
AerCap sells aircraft at 2x book value and repurchases stock near 1x book, cutting shares outstanding 31% in three years.
Adobe Inc (ADBE): slowly, then all at once
Adobe’s sub-20x forward GAAP P/E reflects AI disruption fears, with the investment case hinging on whether Digital Media’s creative…
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