Friday, August 28, 2026
From X
Clark Square Capital on X
Interesting development at $GRVY https://t.co/xvjalTHgN7
Chris Camillo on X
@PostmodernRogue @fkon1u @DumbMoneyTV what exactly do you think is priced in? >37M launch-quarter units? >45M? >50M? what ARPU? “priced in” isn’t an argument without numbers. There is upside and downside. Been crushing $TTWO GTA trades since ’99. Always happy to compare notes.
Timyan Bank Alert on X
Stilwell’s shareholder proposal for $CPBI overwhelmingly passed. I’m not the only one who found it brilliant. https://t.co/5ysX64Oj6T
SG on X
On the daily chart, $SB #sugar looks like it ran too far too fast. Zoom out though and you get a better picture of exactly how far the commodity can move in an uptrend. Staying long. https://t.co/31XQLMRcCZ
PAA Research on X
DRAM sentiment cooled after Nvidia’s reported $160 billion quarter-on-quarter supply and purchase agreements, testing a crowded memory-chip trade.
SG on X
I know one company that won't be sad August is coming to an end $BURL https://t.co/uOtSFz7nCf
David Orr on X
Google, Amazon and Microsoft rose after the earnings beat, while lower-cost neocloud compute providers could offer stronger risk-adjusted returns.
David Orr on X
$SOXX $NVDA down since the big beat... sure looks like a news failure event. I think it'll be electricity bottlenecks that kill the AI hardware bubble. The hyperscalers controlling that bottleneck should be the biggest winner.
Investor Letters
All letters- Palm Harbour Capital July 2026 064850 $135M
- Protean Funds July 2026 DVYSR $107M
- Hayden Capital Q2 2026 AMZN $2.8T
- Royce Investment Partners Year-to-Date Through 6/30/26 AAP $2.6B
- Intrepid Capital 2Q26 GOOGL $4.2T
- Polaris Capital Management Second Quarter 2026 ENI $81B
- First Eagle Investments second quarter 2026 032830 $45B
- Oakmark Funds 2Q 2026 META $1.5T
SK Hynix: Higher Revenue Than Micron, Cheaper Than Micron (Initiating Buy)
Making sense of Sandisk’s long-term financial model
Sandisk’s FY28-FY30 model relies on long-term NAND agreements holding near-80% gross-margin floors despite pricing 26-28% below current…
Late August 2026 Random Ramblings
Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven…
The Verra Sneerer (NASDAQ:VRRM)
Verra Mobility renewed Hertz tolling management for five years. AutoKinex lets rental customers buy tolling, fuel and protection products…
Nvidia Climbing the Wall of Worries
Nvidia guided FY2028 revenue toward $700 billion, roughly 70% growth, while supply constraints and neocloud demand face concerns over…
Domo (Arigato), for this potential multi-bagger options trade
Domo’s $400 million sale to Progress would leave a cash-rich public shell with $900 million of NOLs; January 2028 $5 calls cost 22 cents.
Nvidia’s Long-Term Margin Question
Nvidia faces questions over the durability of its long-term profit margins ahead of earnings.
[scuttleslops] AI Data Center Economics, ADI, INTU, IDXX
AWS AI campuses cost $40–$45 billion per gigawatt, with Trainium 3 expected to lift compute per megawatt and improve infrastructure returns.
$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners
El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…
CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage
CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…
Perfect CORP
Perfect Corp., a Taiwan-based beauty-tech microcap SPAC, trades below net cash despite sales growth after falling from a brief $2 billion…
Doordash INC
DoorDash holds roughly 60% U.S. market share in on-demand restaurant logistics, underpinning a long thesis on its defensible delivery…
NCLH or her grandma Saga?
Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…
Airbnb Model Update (2026)
Airbnb shares have risen about 50% since October 2025, prompting a revised 2026 model and return assumptions at the current price.
Leef Brands INC
LEEF Brands, California’s largest cannabis extract manufacturer, supplies distillate, live resin and rosin to leading California brands.
Adobe INC
Adobe's dual network effects and platform entrenchment make AI fears a buying opportunity for the software compounder.
Cadence Design Systems INC
Cadence Design Systems sells chip-design software as AI computing drives a structural increase in semiconductor design complexity.
Tva Group INC -cl B
TVA Group, a C$61 million market-cap Quebec French-language media company, is presented as a highly asymmetric long opportunity for…
Jumia
Jumia’s January 2028 $7/$15 call spread risks $1.15 for up to $6.85 if cost cuts and marketplace growth deliver adjusted EBITDA and…
Shitcos, Griftcos, and alignment versus enrichment at $IREN
IREN awarded each co-CEO roughly 9 million RSUs, about 2.5% of shares and $400 million, in exchange for no further equity grants until…
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