Friday, August 28, 2026
From X
Chris Camillo on X
@PostmodernRogue @fkon1u @DumbMoneyTV what exactly do you think is priced in? >37M launch-quarter units? >45M? >50M? what ARPU? “priced in” isn’t an argument without numbers. There is upside and downside. Been crushing $TTWO GTA trades since ’99. Always happy to compare notes.
PAA Research on X
DRAM sentiment cooled after Nvidia’s reported $160 billion quarter-on-quarter supply and purchase agreements, testing a crowded memory-chip trade.
SG on X
I know one company that won't be sad August is coming to an end $BURL https://t.co/uOtSFz7nCf
David Orr on X
Google, Amazon and Microsoft rose after the earnings beat, while lower-cost neocloud compute providers could offer stronger risk-adjusted returns.
David Orr on X
$SOXX $NVDA down since the big beat... sure looks like a news failure event. I think it'll be electricity bottlenecks that kill the AI hardware bubble. The hyperscalers controlling that bottleneck should be the biggest winner.
Chris Camillo on X
@Kcon2026 didn’t miss that. i was long calls going into $NVDA earnings. my comment was about other investors making outsized bets long or short based mostly on vibes.
David Orr on X
@taobanker $LULU's quality drop was like a bit worse every year, kind of hard to notice. And then all of a sudden...
SG on X
$FLR share count reduction is impressive. Another year or two at this clip could really transform the capital structure. https://t.co/H0a7syQHHb
Investor Letters
All letters- Protean Funds July 2026 DVYSR $105M
- Hayden Capital Q2 2026 AMZN $2.8T
- Royce Investment Partners Year-to-Date Through 6/30/26 AAP $2.6B
- Intrepid Capital 2Q26 GOOGL $4.2T
- Polaris Capital Management Second Quarter 2026 ENI $80B
- First Eagle Investments second quarter 2026 032830 $45B
- Oakmark Funds 2Q 2026 META $1.5T
- Greenhaven Road Capital second quarter ANAB $1.7B
SK Hynix: Higher Revenue Than Micron, Cheaper Than Micron (Initiating Buy)
Making sense of Sandisk’s long-term financial model
Sandisk’s FY28-FY30 model relies on long-term NAND agreements holding near-80% gross-margin floors despite pricing 26-28% below current…
Late August 2026 Random Ramblings
Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven…
Nvidia Climbing the Wall of Worries
Nvidia guided FY2028 revenue toward $700 billion, roughly 70% growth, while supply constraints and neocloud demand face concerns over…
Domo (Arigato), for this potential multi-bagger options trade
Domo’s $400 million sale to Progress would leave a cash-rich public shell with $900 million of NOLs; January 2028 $5 calls cost 22 cents.
Nvidia’s Long-Term Margin Question
Nvidia faces questions over the durability of its long-term profit margins ahead of earnings.
[scuttleslops] AI Data Center Economics, ADI, INTU, IDXX
AWS AI campuses cost $40–$45 billion per gigawatt, with Trainium 3 expected to lift compute per megawatt and improve infrastructure returns.
$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners
El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…
CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage
CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…
NCLH or her grandma Saga?
Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…
Adobe Business History
Adobe built PostScript, Photoshop and PDF into desktop-publishing standards, using free Acrobat Reader and integrated Creative Suite tools…
Adobe Deep Dive
Adobe trades at 14x earnings after a 65% decline, with AI, Canva and Figma threatening subscriptions, customer acquisition and…
Adobe Expert Insight Interview (No Paywall)
Adobe trades at 11x earnings despite $24.5 billion of revenue, 37% operating margins and 12% profit growth; a former data-science head…
Meta: 1Q26 Business Update
Meta’s Q1 2026 revenue rose 33% as ad impressions gained 19%, while AI-driven ranking and targeting lifted engagement and conversion;…
Google’s AI Return on Investment
Alphabet’s $132 billion AI capex produced an estimated 49% post-tax incremental ROIC once only in-service assets are counted, versus a…
Infineon Technologies (IFX GY): Power Overwhelming
Infineon’s power semiconductors stand to benefit from AI data centers shifting to 800VDC power delivery, though its sharp rerating to…
Adobe Expert Insight Interview (No Paywall)
Adobe trades at 11x earnings despite $24.5 billion of revenue and 37% operating margins, as a former data-science chief discusses whether…
Copart: 2Q26 Business Recap
Copart’s fiscal Q2 2026 revenue fell 4% and U.S. insurance units dropped 11%, as underinsured drivers and carrier volumes weighed while IAA…
Shift4 Company Podcast Episode Released!
Shift4 built its payments business by acquiring gateway nodes and migrating merchants to its processing platform; revenue has compounded…
Airbnb 4Q25: Business Update
Airbnb’s fourth-quarter revenue rose 12% to $2.8 billion and GBV 16%, while product improvements and AI spending target booking conversion…
Publications we follow
Every publication on this site, hand-picked.
- Seeking Alpha
- MBI Deep Dives
- Bearhold Research
- Wolf's Substack
- Bristlemoon Capital
- The Oak Bloke
- Yet Another Value Blog
- Yet Another Value Podcast
- Triple S Special Situations Investing
- scuttleblurb
- The Monetary Matters Network
- Steve Eisman
- 310 Value’s Newsletter
- The Value Road
- Capital Employed
- Speedwell Memos
- The Mikro Kap
- Treasure Hunting
- Clark Street Value
- Cluseau Research
- Value Investors Club
- John Hempton's Newsletter
- Undervalued Shares
- smallvalue.
- Maius Partners
- Multibagger Monitor
- Altay Capital - Mostly Value Investing
- Nat Stewart - Stock Picking Newsletter
- Citrini Research
- Hunterbrook
- Odds on Open
- Sunday's Idea Brunch
X accounts we follow
Every account on this site, hand-picked.
- Chris Camillo
- marginofdanger
- Ian Bezek
- Maj Soueidan
- Prepared Remarks
- Raging Capital Ventures
- Clark Square Capital
- Timyan Bank Alert
- SG
- PAA Research
- David Orr
- BDC
- Lee Roach
- ⚽️📡
- JabroniCoin.USD
- Farmer
- Broken Moats
- mavix
- Charles Frischer
- Connor Haley
- AltayCap
- Nat Stewart
- Mike
- junkbondinvestor
- Little Owl Research
- Tim Eriksen
- ToffCap
- Fierce_beast
- Psyop Capital
- Laughing Water Capital
- catechwilliams
- Porter Collins
- Rusholme Capital
- Sahil Khetpal
Topics
Ordered by how often our editor reaches for them.
