Friday, August 28, 2026
From X
Chris Camillo on X
@PostmodernRogue @fkon1u @DumbMoneyTV what exactly do you think is priced in? >37M launch-quarter units? >45M? >50M? what ARPU? “priced in” isn’t an argument without numbers. There is upside and downside. Been crushing $TTWO GTA trades since ’99. Always happy to compare notes.
PAA Research on X
DRAM sentiment cooled after Nvidia’s reported $160 billion quarter-on-quarter supply and purchase agreements, testing a crowded memory-chip trade.
SG on X
I know one company that won't be sad August is coming to an end $BURL https://t.co/uOtSFz7nCf
David Orr on X
Google, Amazon and Microsoft rose after the earnings beat, while lower-cost neocloud compute providers could offer stronger risk-adjusted returns.
David Orr on X
$SOXX $NVDA down since the big beat... sure looks like a news failure event. I think it'll be electricity bottlenecks that kill the AI hardware bubble. The hyperscalers controlling that bottleneck should be the biggest winner.
Chris Camillo on X
@Kcon2026 didn’t miss that. i was long calls going into $NVDA earnings. my comment was about other investors making outsized bets long or short based mostly on vibes.
David Orr on X
@taobanker $LULU's quality drop was like a bit worse every year, kind of hard to notice. And then all of a sudden...
Lee Roach on X
PayPal’s $42.6 billion enterprise value against $6 billion of free cash flow implies a 14% free-cash-flow yield after a failed buyout.
Investor Letters
All letters- First Eagle Investments third quarter 2025 AEM $109B
- RGA Investment Advisors Q3 2025 COF $133B
- Weitz Investment Management third quarter ACN $111B
- Patient Capital Management 3Q25 PGEN $2.6B
- O'Keefe Stevens Advisory Q3 2025 GLW $132B
- Palm Valley Capital Third Quarter 2025 NVDA $5.4T
- Patient Capital Management 2Q25 BABA $285B
- Rowan Street Capital first half of 2025 ADYEY $39B
- Pershing Square Holdings Six-month period ended June 30, 2025 HHH $3.9B
- Patient Capital Management first quarter of 2025 BABA $285B
- Greenhaven Road Capital Q1 2025 KFS
- Berkshire Hathaway 2024 ITOCY $93B
- Palm Harbour Capital Q4 2024 FCODF $6.4B
- Palm Harbour Capital Q3 2024 0ROF delisted
- Horizon Kinetics 2nd Quarter 2024 LB $6.9B
SK Hynix: Higher Revenue Than Micron, Cheaper Than Micron (Initiating Buy)
Making sense of Sandisk’s long-term financial model
Sandisk’s FY28-FY30 model relies on long-term NAND agreements holding near-80% gross-margin floors despite pricing 26-28% below current…
Nvidia Climbing the Wall of Worries
Nvidia guided FY2028 revenue toward $700 billion, roughly 70% growth, while supply constraints and neocloud demand face concerns over…
Nvidia’s Long-Term Margin Question
Nvidia faces questions over the durability of its long-term profit margins ahead of earnings.
[scuttleslops] AI Data Center Economics, ADI, INTU, IDXX
AWS AI campuses cost $40–$45 billion per gigawatt, with Trainium 3 expected to lift compute per megawatt and improve infrastructure returns.
Shitcos, Griftcos, and alignment versus enrichment at $IREN
IREN awarded each co-CEO roughly 9 million RSUs, about 2.5% of shares and $400 million, in exchange for no further equity grants until…
$NU: is Nubank Capital One in 1994 or Capital One in 2006? | Vanshap Capital
Nubank's 140 million customers, 20% efficiency ratio and 30% ROE frame whether its high-teens P/E reflects a scalable fintech or a maturing…
The $1.5 Trillion of Hidden Debt Fueling the AI Boom | Robin Wigglesworth of FT Alphaville
Hyperscalers’ off-balance-sheet lease and purchase obligations rose from roughly $1 trillion to $1.5 trillion, turning the AI buildout into…
Will Hubspot go the way of the Dodo?
HubSpot trades near its 2020 share price despite quadrupled revenue and $750 million in free cash flow, with Breeze AI upside weighed…
AI’s Achilles’ Heel: Why Everything Hinges on Anthropic & OpenAI | The Weekly Wrap
Steve Eisman argues the AI boom hinges on Anthropic and OpenAI’s importance to hyperscalers, while weighing software, CoreWeave and Cisco…
After A Decade Of Underperformance, Comcast Is Finally Ready To Rebound
HEICO: A Fundamentals Superstar But Also An Informational Enigma; Staying At 'Hold'
ArcelorMittal: Regionalization Is Creating A Structurally Better Steel Company
Vertiv: AI's Physical Bottleneck Is Expanding Its Value Per Megawatt
General Motors: The Billion Mile Moat
Kinross Gold: The Buy Case Is Margin, Not Growth
Royal Gold INC
Royal Gold, a $19 billion precious-metals royalty and streaming company, benefits from mine production without operating mines directly.
Rocket Lab Is Becoming Much Bigger Than Neutron
Kinder Morgan: The Consolidation Is An Opportunity Before The Next Leg Higher
Sizing Up Cerebras Systems: Why Its Latency Moat Makes It A Buy For Aggressive Growth Investors
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