Late August 2026 Random Ramblings
Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven capital allocation.
Thursday, August 27, 2026
From X
BDC on X
Meta’s committed AI capex risks exceeding financeable demand as capital costs rise, forcing a pivot from excess capacity.
Ian Bezek on X
@TidefallCapital I think macro beer is still deeply challenged, though I own a little bit of $TAP and $ABEV. I'm much more confident spirits will recover.
JabroniCoin.USD on X
“Huawei’s report on its progress gave Ding leeway to be more aggressive. He delivered a blunt warning to China’s largest AI users, according to people familiar with the message: Anyone who resisted employing domestic chips was a traitor.” $ACMR https://t.co/2DDOgMTQEW
BDC on X
Internet analysts once focused on Google Search, Meta advertising, Netflix subscribers and AWS growth. AI-era capex has made those earnings calls more complex.
BDC on X
@FrostByte123456 Yes. $GOOGL needs to feed TWO capex intensive businesses: 1. Search (Gemeni) and 2. Cloud. $AMZN needs to only feed one, which is AWS.
BDC on X
$SNAP will generate more FCF this year than $GOOGL and maybe more than the hyperscalers combined in the 2H ex MSFT! Just sayin...
Clark Square Capital on X
Anybody like $DOMO here? Trading at $3.67 when they will have circa $4.84 in net cash after the sale closes + $900m in NOLs (at a 21% tax rate, that's worth $4.50 to the equity) https://t.co/UwaAd0UkLL
Clark Square Capital on X
Good, solid quarter from $BWMX https://t.co/rRzlwT85tX
Investor Letters
All letters- Palm Harbour Capital July 2026 064850 $136M
- Protean Funds July 2026 DVYSR $105M
- Royce Investment Partners Year-to-Date Through 6/30/26 AAP $2.6B
- Maran Capital Management second quarter SPCX
- Intrepid Capital 2Q 2026
- Polaris Capital Management Second Quarter 2026 ENI $80B
- First Eagle Investments second quarter 2026 032830 $45B
- Oakmark Funds 2Q 2026 META $1.5T
BHVN 2026-08-27 Biohaven: Sale Of Opakalim Rights To SK Biopharmaceuticals Makes Sense On Many Levels
Edmund Ingham 5 clicks KSTR 2026-08-27 KSTR: Exposure To China's Chips And Potential Diversifier For SOXX
Chetan Woodun 4 clicks ACIW 2026-08-27 ACI Worldwide: An Undercovered Payments Compounder Getting Better
SiliconBytes Insights 5 clicks
Domo (Arigato), for this potential multi-bagger options trade
Domo’s $400 million sale to Progress would leave a cash-rich public shell with $900 million of NOLs; January 2028 $5 calls cost 22 cents.
Nvidia’s Long-Term Margin Question
Nvidia faces questions over the durability of its long-term profit margins ahead of earnings.
[scuttleslops] AI Data Center Economics, ADI, INTU, IDXX
AWS AI campuses cost $40–$45 billion per gigawatt, with Trainium 3 expected to lift compute per megawatt and improve infrastructure returns.
Big Tech Off-Balance Sheet Concerns
Big Tech’s $3 trillion AI commitments are disclosed and largely long-dated, with nearly 60% of Amazon’s $650 billion commitments falling…
Atlas Engineered Products ($AEP.V) FINS Review
Atlas Engineered Products reported Q2 revenue up 19% to $16.2 million, but ended cashless on its credit line as inventory rose 47% and…
The Junk (Mail) Merger Arb
Star Equity’s $5 per-share Harte-Hanks acquisition offers $2.50 cash plus 0.25 STRRP per share after proration, against a $2 break price.
$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners
El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…
Late August 2026 Random Ramblings
Higher rates threaten equity multiples and AI data-center economics, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven capital…
MT 2026-08-27 ArcelorMittal: Regionalization Is Creating A Structurally Better Steel Company
Capital Connoisseur 3 clicks VRT 2026-08-27 Vertiv: AI's Physical Bottleneck Is Expanding Its Value Per Megawatt
LL Insights 3 clicks FUFU 2026-08-27 BitFuFu: A $93 Million Liability No One Can Explain
Dorine Cherop 1 click GM 2026-08-27 General Motors: The Billion Mile Moat
Muhammad Cheema 3 clicks KGC 2026-08-27 Kinross Gold: The Buy Case Is Margin, Not Growth
The Bullionaire 4 clicks TPC 2026-08-27 Tutor Perini: Q2 2026 Made My Strong Buy Case Stronger
The Curious Analyst 4 clicksLegacy Education
Legacy Education operates six California campuses offering post-secondary nursing, physician assistant and surgical education.
Royal Gold INC
Royal Gold, a $19 billion precious-metals royalty and streaming company, benefits from mine production without operating mines directly.
the chemours inc.
Chemours (CC) is presented as a long investment in its three-segment specialty chemicals business.
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