Late August 2026 Random Ramblings
Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven capital allocation.
Thursday, August 27, 2026
From X
BDC on X
@benbstwits Warren Buffett is 96 years old. He had every opportunity to buy $GOOGL over the last 20 years and didn't. The fact that he is showing up now is not the flex you think.
Fierce_beast on X
$SSTK -- this stock was often trading below 8x p/e throughout the last 3 years and even lower on a net cash basis. At the start of this year it was trading around 4.5x p/e. It's down 70% YTD https://t.co/aRCDW2mTMu
Ian Bezek on X
@valuedrift American $AAL whiffed earnings too.
BDC on X
So is $GOOGL going to tap their ATM now? Or wait for it to go lower?
PAA Research on X
Google's 13% paid-click growth in Q2 2026 masked CPC growth slowing to 3%, raising concerns that a sharper click deceleration could pressure advertising economics.
BDC on X
Alphabet beat its stated KPIs, but a 6% stock decline signals investor resistance to hyperscaler AI capex without quantified cash returns.
Timyan Bank Alert on X
$FCNCA $SBNC HT @bankinvesting https://t.co/3nOgjdlsG8
Ian Bezek on X
Zero-duration bonds are positioned for a return to ZIRP, while EDV or TLT could provide more liquid recession upside than long-term TIPS.
Investor Letters
All letters- Palm Harbour Capital July 2026 064850 $136M
- Protean Funds July 2026 DVYSR $105M
- Royce Investment Partners Year-to-Date Through 6/30/26 AAP $2.6B
- Intrepid Capital 2Q26 GOOGL $4.2T
- Polaris Capital Management Second Quarter 2026 ENI $80B
- First Eagle Investments second quarter 2026 032830 $45B
- Oakmark Funds 2Q 2026 META $1.5T
- Greenhaven Road Capital second quarter ANAB $1.7B
BHVN 2026-08-27 Biohaven: Sale Of Opakalim Rights To SK Biopharmaceuticals Makes Sense On Many Levels
Edmund Ingham 5 clicks ACIW 2026-08-27 ACI Worldwide: An Undercovered Payments Compounder Getting Better
SiliconBytes Insights 5 clicks
Domo (Arigato), for this potential multi-bagger options trade
Domo’s $400 million sale to Progress would leave a cash-rich public shell with $900 million of NOLs; January 2028 $5 calls cost 22 cents.
MT 2026-08-27 ArcelorMittal: Regionalization Is Creating A Structurally Better Steel Company
Capital Connoisseur 3 clicks
Nvidia’s Long-Term Margin Question
Nvidia faces questions over the durability of its long-term profit margins ahead of earnings.
[scuttleslops] AI Data Center Economics, ADI, INTU, IDXX
AWS AI campuses cost $40–$45 billion per gigawatt, with Trainium 3 expected to lift compute per megawatt and improve infrastructure returns.
Big Tech Off-Balance Sheet Concerns
Big Tech’s $3 trillion AI commitments are disclosed and largely long-dated, with nearly 60% of Amazon’s $650 billion commitments falling…
$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners
El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…
CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage
CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…
Aloe Aloe Aloe what 'ave VERRA then?
Verra Mobility's new seven-year Avis agreement replaces a customer worth over 10% of revenue on materially worse economics, exposing…
Late August 2026 Random Ramblings
Higher rates threaten equity multiples and AI data-center economics, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven capital…
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Legacy Education operates six California campuses offering post-secondary nursing, physician assistant and surgical education.
Royal Gold INC
Royal Gold, a $19 billion precious-metals royalty and streaming company, benefits from mine production without operating mines directly.
the chemours inc.
Chemours (CC) is presented as a long investment in its three-segment specialty chemicals business.
Hilton Grand Vacations
Hilton Grand Vacations faces an inflection point in profitability growth and free cash flow generation.
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