Late August 2026 Random Ramblings
Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven capital allocation.
Thursday, August 27, 2026
From X
PAA Research on X
Google's 13% paid-click growth in Q2 2026 masked CPC growth slowing to 3%, raising concerns that a sharper click deceleration could pressure advertising economics.
PAA Research on X
I don't want to extrapolate from a single earnings report, but if you own a software stock than didn't trade materially higher as the $IGV bounced 25-30% from mid-April to early June, you might be in trouble. I guess there were signs with $PEGA...
PAA Research on X
Chubb says commercial-property new and renewal pricing fell 12% year over year, while nonrenewed or rejected business fell 40%, amid broader casualty and E&S softening.
PAA Research on X
WD-40’s post-earnings gap closed after a beat management failed to explain clearly, raising questions about the quarter’s upside.
PAA Research on X
Campbell Soup's leverage and weak capital allocation make a sale difficult, though a dividend cut could free $450 million of annual cash flow for deleveraging.
PAA Research on X
Various parts of the AI CAPEX trade ($MU, $SNDK, $COHR, $MRVL are down (-30%)-(-40%) in the past month, in what inning are we in for this sell-off?
PAA Research on X
Furniture stocks including BSET and ETD outperformed over three months, with real estate-adjusted near-zero enterprise values and earnings leverage to a housing recovery.
PAA Research on X
MTUM and SPMO momentum ETFs are selling off after SPMO's 100% three-year outperformance versus SPY, with September rebalances pending.
Investor Letters
All letters- Palm Harbour Capital July 2026 064850 $140M
- Protean Funds July 2026 DVYSR $107M
- Royce Investment Partners Year-to-Date Through 6/30/26 AAP $2.6B
- Intrepid Capital 2Q26 GOOGL $4.2T
- Polaris Capital Management Second Quarter 2026 ENI $81B
- First Eagle Investments second quarter 2026 032830 $41B
- Oakmark Funds 2Q 2026 META $1.5T
- Greenhaven Road Capital second quarter ANAB $1.7B
BHVN 2026-08-27 Biohaven: Sale Of Opakalim Rights To SK Biopharmaceuticals Makes Sense On Many Levels
Edmund Ingham ACIW 2026-08-27 ACI Worldwide: An Undercovered Payments Compounder Getting Better
SiliconBytes Insights 
Domo (Arigato), for this potential multi-bagger options trade
Domo’s $400 million sale to Progress would leave a cash-rich public shell with $900 million of NOLs; January 2028 $5 calls cost 22 cents.
MT 2026-08-27 ArcelorMittal: Regionalization Is Creating A Structurally Better Steel Company
Capital Connoisseur 
Nvidia’s Long-Term Margin Question
Nvidia faces questions over the durability of its long-term profit margins ahead of earnings.
[scuttleslops] AI Data Center Economics, ADI, INTU, IDXX
AWS AI campuses cost $40–$45 billion per gigawatt, with Trainium 3 expected to lift compute per megawatt and improve infrastructure returns.
Big Tech Off-Balance Sheet Concerns
Big Tech’s $3 trillion AI commitments are disclosed and largely long-dated, with nearly 60% of Amazon’s $650 billion commitments falling…
$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners
El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…
CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage
CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…
Aloe Aloe Aloe what 'ave VERRA then?
Verra Mobility's new seven-year Avis agreement replaces a customer worth over 10% of revenue on materially worse economics, exposing…
Publications we follow
Every publication on this site, hand-picked.
- Seeking Alpha
- Wolf's Substack
- MBI Deep Dives
- Bristlemoon Capital
- The Oak Bloke
- Yet Another Value Blog
- Yet Another Value Podcast
- Triple S Special Situations Investing
- scuttleblurb
- The Monetary Matters Network
- Steve Eisman
- Bearhold Research
- 310 Value’s Newsletter
- The Value Road
- Capital Employed
- Speedwell Memos
- The Mikro Kap
- Treasure Hunting
- Clark Street Value
- Cluseau Research
- John Hempton's Newsletter
- Value Investors Club
- Undervalued Shares
- smallvalue.
- Maius Partners
- Multibagger Monitor
- Altay Capital - Mostly Value Investing
- Nat Stewart - Stock Picking Newsletter
- Citrini Research
- Hunterbrook
- Odds on Open
- Sunday's Idea Brunch
X accounts we follow
Every account on this site, hand-picked.
- Timyan Bank Alert
- SG
- PAA Research
- David Orr
- Chris Camillo
- BDC
- Lee Roach
- Maj Soueidan
- Raging Capital Ventures
- ⚽️📡
- JabroniCoin.USD
- Farmer
- Broken Moats
- Prepared Remarks
- mavix
- Charles Frischer
- Connor Haley
- Ian Bezek
- AltayCap
- Nat Stewart
- Mike
- junkbondinvestor
- Little Owl Research
- Clark Square Capital
- Tim Eriksen
- ToffCap
- marginofdanger
- Fierce_beast
- Psyop Capital
- Laughing Water Capital
- catechwilliams
- Porter Collins
- Rusholme Capital
- Sahil Khetpal
Older Stories
NCLH or her grandma Saga?
The Oak Bloke
Jumia
Triple S Special Situations Investing
Shitcos, Griftcos, and alignment versus enrichment at $IREN
Yet Another Value Blog
$NU: is Nubank Capital One in 1994 or Capital One in 2006? | Vanshap Capital
Yet Another Value Podcast
Stock Trade Compilation Diez
Triple S Special Situations InvestingTopics
Ordered by how often our editor reaches for them.
