Late August 2026 Random Ramblings
Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven capital allocation.
Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven capital allocation.
@LownTrevor if you believe that’s the consensus then $TTWO not for you
Please let $TTWO open flat tomorrow because tonight’s GTA VI reaction is “priced in” test me
Take-Two ($TTWO) gameplay quality will determine player engagement and long-term monetization, creating material upside and downside.
Take-Two's GTA VI gameplay reveal beat expectations after hacker leaks had primed the market for disappointment.
What's the one stock you hope falls due to a "blip" quarter that is likely temporary due to unusual circumstances or investor misinterpretation? Two of my wishes already came true with $SIF and $KLNG. Could throw $FSI into the mix. Next on this early Christmas wish list? $PPIH
@StableBread Nice summary. Thanks for sharing. I’m somewhat excited about the new CEO hire from the competitor, $CECO, who has actually been winning data center contracts.
Anyone have a direct line to $MG, call them now. We have a code red!!! https://t.co/zgvG6Ik5vi
SNDK faces greater NAND-cycle risk than HBM-focused memory peers as new capacity, de-speccing and pooling threaten supply discipline. The author is short SNDK and criticizes memory-stock buybacks.
Domo’s $400 million sale to Progress would leave a cash-rich public shell with $900 million of NOLs; January 2028 $5 calls cost 22 cents.
Nvidia faces questions over the durability of its long-term profit margins ahead of earnings.
AWS AI campuses cost $40–$45 billion per gigawatt, with Trainium 3 expected to lift compute per megawatt and improve infrastructure returns.
Big Tech’s $3 trillion AI commitments are disclosed and largely long-dated, with nearly 60% of Amazon’s $650 billion commitments falling…
El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…
CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…
Verra Mobility's new seven-year Avis agreement replaces a customer worth over 10% of revenue on materially worse economics, exposing…
ICAD’s cloud-subscription shift could add more than $30 million of ARR to AI mammography software with 85%+ margins, while its net cash…
Red Cat’s Teal Drones is one of two remaining candidates for a $600 million to $1 billion-plus U.S.
IBio’s $20 million, debt-free valuation is a high-risk bet that it can partner a myostatin inhibitor for GLP-1-related muscle loss before…
Sow Good trades below 6x NTM earnings after retiring debt and raising $12.8 million to expand freeze-dried candy capacity amid rapid…
Total Site Solutions ($TSSI) depends on Dell for 96% of revenue; the 4x thesis rests on Dell expanding modular data centers amid AI-driven…
AXT’s 85.5%-owned Tongmei depends on offshore pricing, export approvals and transfer-pricing economics despite AI-optics demand.
China Yuchai (CYD) seeks a 2026 rerating as governance normalization, global expansion, AI data-center power demand, and green-powertrain…
China Yuchai’s potential MGP IPO could separate its data-center and genset arm, with employee incentives tied to a listing and a proposed…
CYD’s FY24 earnings miss reflected ¥200m of one-offs; adjusted net income reached roughly ¥430m and operating cash flow rose 40%.
CYD was sold near $21 versus an $11 entry after exceeding a $19.50 target; proceeds moved to H22.SI, whose CYD stake implies $1.30 NAV and…
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