Big Tech Off-Balance Sheet Concerns
Big Tech’s $3 trillion AI commitments are disclosed and largely long-dated, with nearly 60% of Amazon’s $650 billion commitments falling after 2030.
Tuesday, August 25, 2026
Atlas Engineered Products ($AEP.V) FINS Review
Aug 25 STNE $2.2B StoneCo: Deep Value Hiding Behind Brazil's Rate Fears - For Now
IWA Research 7 clicksFrom X
Laughing Water Capital on X
NN’s spectrum assets are likely valuable, despite a bearish view based on a selective reading of the company’s prospects.
catechwilliams on X
$QSG Announced the core business sold for only $2.5M. This was 100% of the company as recently as April. Now it's a fad toy company trading at 4-5x sales (FY2026 sales guide of $100M-$150M, +$500M mkt cap). Legacy VCs almost certainly going to unload now.
Little Owl Research on X
$RAVE “The ‘I ate at Pizza Inn’ restaurants experienced a 30.6% year over year sales lift and a 34.7% traffic lift for the final eight weeks of the fourth quarter… have completed eleven reimages and the reimage results continue to be very positive. We opened new…” 1/2
catechwilliams on X
$QSG: Delayed filing. Mounting accounting issues. Failed ed biz buying a toy company (highly dilutive). US-based VC fund DCM owns 21% S/O. Will be hard to justify an investment in an ed company that devolved into a toy business to their LPs. Likely the next legacy holder to sell.
catechwilliams on X
$QSG Failing Chinese online learning company made a “strategic pivot toward product-driven business” by acquiring a single product toy biz: 1) March acq 61% for $33M, 2) 3 weeks ago acq at 5x that prior valuation. Massively dilutive. Legacy VCs selling fast, report this week.
Rusholme Capital on X
How ironic is it that $DAVE, a multi-billion fintech, relies on tips from its payday borrowers for its revenue. Capitalism at its finest!
catechwilliams on X
$RDDT I don't make bold predictions. I'm a conservative doctor but it will likely be the next $META or $GOOG. Look at those companies 8-10 years ago. Very similar fact pattern. Now $RDDT is dominating search w highly valuable AI. +78% rev on tough comp and just getting started.
catechwilliams on X
$CRCT Covid fad DIY crafting printers—accelerating unit sales decline, cutting prices. High margin subscription rev (online templates library free elsewhere) now churning off. Set for Q2 miss/ guide down on 8/5. 18-20x P/E. Massive CEO selling. https://t.co/V86UTJv2Np
Investor Letters
All letters- Palm Harbour Capital July 2026 064850 $136M
- Protean Funds July 2026 DVYSR $105M
- Intrepid Capital 2Q 2026
- Polaris Capital Management Second Quarter 2026 ENI $80B
- First Eagle Investments second quarter 2026 032830 $45B
- Oakmark Funds 2Q 2026 META $1.5T
- Greenhaven Road Capital second quarter ANAB $1.7B
- RGA Investment Advisors Q2 2026 ADBE $114B
SBLK 2026-08-25 Star Bulk Carriers: You Don't Need The Record Quarter
Kevin Avroutskii 4 clicks WLDN 2026-08-25 Willdan Group: The Q2 Beat-And-Raise Confirms The Inflection
Miletus Research 3 clicks
Stripe’s “Singularity” and the Divergence from Adyen
Stripe’s net revenue rose 41% in 1H 2026 versus Adyen’s 21% FX-adjusted growth, fueled by AI-native startups and acquisitions including…
The Junk (Mail) Merger Arb
Star Equity’s $5 per-share Harte-Hanks acquisition offers $2.50 cash plus 0.25 STRRP per share after proration, against a $2 break price.
Core Memory
Airbnb Experiences faces a supply bottleneck from manual approvals, while a farm host raised her price from $15 to $25 after stronger…
$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners
El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…
CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage
CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…
Aloe Aloe Aloe what 'ave VERRA then?
Verra Mobility's new seven-year Avis agreement replaces a customer worth over 10% of revenue on materially worse economics, exposing…
NCLH or her grandma Saga?
Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…
Jumia
Jumia’s January 2028 $7/$15 call spread risks $1.15 for up to $6.85 if cost cuts and marketplace growth deliver adjusted EBITDA and…
TTMI 2026-08-25 TTM Technologies: Priced Like A Board Shop, Booked Like A Defense Prime
Jaden Mealy 2 clicks ARQQ 2026-08-25 Arqit Quantum: The Little Boat That Couldn't
Luis Cortes Dequidt 2 clicks GEN 2026-08-25 Gen Digital: MoneyLion Opens A New Growth Channel At A Low Valuation
Manimala Misra 2 clicks DNTH 2026-08-25 Dianthus Therapeutics: The C1s Shakeout Strengthens The Bull Case
Equity Eagle 2 clicksOnce Upon A Farm Pbc
Once Upon a Farm (OFRM) makes organic baby food, smoothies and kid snacks using high-pressure processing instead of heat pasteurization.
NRIX 2026-08-24 Nurix Therapeutics: Roche Has Changed The Economics Of The Bull Case
Equity Eagle 3 clicks RCEL 2026-08-24 AVITA Medical: Favorable Reimbursements For Skin Wound Care
Myriam Alvarez 4 clicks HMY 2026-08-24 Harmony Gold Mining: A Copper Pioneer By Capitalizing On The Gold Tailwind (Reaffirming Buy)
Prakhar Agarwal, CFA 4 clicks UEC 2026-08-24 Uranium Energy Ranks High Among The Bravest Companies I Ever Covered
Marc Gerstein 3 clicks CVS 2026-08-24 CVS Health: Discounted, Vertically Integrated Healthcare Winner - Richer Returns Ahead
Juxtaposed Ideas 3 clicksPublications we follow
Every publication on this site, hand-picked.
- MBI Deep Dives
- Bearhold Research
- Seeking Alpha
- Wolf's Substack
- Bristlemoon Capital
- The Oak Bloke
- Yet Another Value Blog
- Yet Another Value Podcast
- Triple S Special Situations Investing
- scuttleblurb
- The Monetary Matters Network
- Steve Eisman
- 310 Value’s Newsletter
- The Value Road
- Capital Employed
- Speedwell Memos
- The Mikro Kap
- Treasure Hunting
- Clark Street Value
- Cluseau Research
- John Hempton's Newsletter
- Value Investors Club
- Undervalued Shares
- smallvalue.
- Maius Partners
- Multibagger Monitor
- Altay Capital - Mostly Value Investing
- Nat Stewart - Stock Picking Newsletter
- Citrini Research
- Hunterbrook
- Odds on Open
- Sunday's Idea Brunch
X accounts we follow
Every account on this site, hand-picked.
- Chris Camillo
- marginofdanger
- Ian Bezek
- Maj Soueidan
- Prepared Remarks
- Raging Capital Ventures
- Clark Square Capital
- Timyan Bank Alert
- SG
- PAA Research
- David Orr
- BDC
- Lee Roach
- ⚽️📡
- JabroniCoin.USD
- Farmer
- Broken Moats
- mavix
- Charles Frischer
- Connor Haley
- AltayCap
- Nat Stewart
- Mike
- junkbondinvestor
- Little Owl Research
- Tim Eriksen
- ToffCap
- Fierce_beast
- Psyop Capital
- Laughing Water Capital
- catechwilliams
- Porter Collins
- Rusholme Capital
- Sahil Khetpal
Topics
Ordered by how often our editor reaches for them.
