Big Tech Off-Balance Sheet Concerns
Big Tech’s $3 trillion AI commitments are disclosed and largely long-dated, with nearly 60% of Amazon’s $650 billion commitments falling after 2030.
Tuesday, August 25, 2026
Aug 25 STNE $2.2B StoneCo: Deep Value Hiding Behind Brazil's Rate Fears - For Now
IWA Research 7 clicks Aug 25 SBLK $3.4B Star Bulk Carriers: You Don't Need The Record Quarter
Kevin Avroutskii 4 clicksFrom X
catechwilliams on X
$CVGW Just delayed earnings release and 10K filing date 1 month, changed filing status. Note the ongoing dispute w Mexican authorities for tax underpayments. That liability is nearly the size of $CVGW mkt cap. The jig may be up.
catechwilliams on X
$DAKT Another strong result: sales grew 6%, $0.27 EPS (ex non-cash convert expense) brings LTM to nearly $1.40 or 8x EPS. Don't see a lot of growing, industry leaders w strong FCF profiles at that multiple. No banks cover it, that will change soon. CFO at 2 conferences this week.
catechwilliams on X
$DKNG Basically just said at the Craig Hallum Conference they are going to miss Q4 guidance. CEO: "literally had the worst stretch of the year, the last few weeks...sometimes that happens where you issue your guidance...So we'll see."
catechwilliams on X
$DAKT Perhaps the most attractive long I’ve seen in years. Dominant \position in a category growing >20%. Major business overhaul taking hold after years of underperformance. Stock trades at 7x EPS/ 13% FCF yield due to low awareness of these structural improvements (see below)..
Little Owl Research on X
If anyone has any questions on $HHH feel free to DM me.
Little Owl Research on X
For anyone interested in knowing more about Howard Hughes Holdings $HHH I've posted my write up on the company. This is not investment advice. https://t.co/a7b9FJclsp
Investor Letters
All letters- Palm Harbour Capital July 2026 064850 $136M
- Protean Funds July 2026 DVYSR $105M
- Intrepid Capital 2Q26 GOOGL $4.2T
- Polaris Capital Management Second Quarter 2026 ENI $80B
- First Eagle Investments second quarter 2026 032830 $45B
- Oakmark Funds 2Q 2026 META $1.5T
- Greenhaven Road Capital second quarter ANAB $1.7B
- RGA Investment Advisors Q2 2026 ADBE $114B
WLDN 2026-08-25 Willdan Group: The Q2 Beat-And-Raise Confirms The Inflection
Miletus Research 3 clicks
Stripe’s “Singularity” and the Divergence from Adyen
Stripe’s net revenue rose 41% in 1H 2026 versus Adyen’s 21% FX-adjusted growth, fueled by AI-native startups and acquisitions including…
Core Memory
Airbnb Experiences faces a supply bottleneck from manual approvals, while a farm host raised her price from $15 to $25 after stronger…
$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners
El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…
CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage
CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…
Aloe Aloe Aloe what 'ave VERRA then?
Verra Mobility's new seven-year Avis agreement replaces a customer worth over 10% of revenue on materially worse economics, exposing…
NCLH or her grandma Saga?
Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…
Jumia
Jumia’s January 2028 $7/$15 call spread risks $1.15 for up to $6.85 if cost cuts and marketplace growth deliver adjusted EBITDA and…
Shitcos, Griftcos, and alignment versus enrichment at $IREN
IREN awarded each co-CEO roughly 9 million RSUs, about 2.5% of shares and $400 million, in exchange for no further equity grants until…
$NU: is Nubank Capital One in 1994 or Capital One in 2006? | Vanshap Capital
Nubank's 140 million customers, 20% efficiency ratio and 30% ROE frame whether its high-teens P/E reflects a scalable fintech or a maturing…
TTMI 2026-08-25 TTM Technologies: Priced Like A Board Shop, Booked Like A Defense Prime
Jaden Mealy 2 clicks ARQQ 2026-08-25 Arqit Quantum: The Little Boat That Couldn't
Luis Cortes Dequidt 2 clicks GEN 2026-08-25 Gen Digital: MoneyLion Opens A New Growth Channel At A Low Valuation
Manimala Misra 2 clicks DNTH 2026-08-25 Dianthus Therapeutics: The C1s Shakeout Strengthens The Bull Case
Equity Eagle 2 clicksOnce Upon A Farm Pbc
Once Upon a Farm (OFRM) makes organic baby food, smoothies and kid snacks using high-pressure processing instead of heat pasteurization.
NRIX 2026-08-24 Nurix Therapeutics: Roche Has Changed The Economics Of The Bull Case
Equity Eagle 3 clicks RCEL 2026-08-24 AVITA Medical: Favorable Reimbursements For Skin Wound Care
Myriam Alvarez 4 clicks HMY 2026-08-24 Harmony Gold Mining: A Copper Pioneer By Capitalizing On The Gold Tailwind (Reaffirming Buy)
Prakhar Agarwal, CFA 4 clicks UEC 2026-08-24 Uranium Energy Ranks High Among The Bravest Companies I Ever Covered
Marc Gerstein 3 clicks CVS 2026-08-24 CVS Health: Discounted, Vertically Integrated Healthcare Winner - Richer Returns Ahead
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