Big Tech Off-Balance Sheet Concerns
Big Tech’s $3 trillion AI commitments are disclosed and largely long-dated, with nearly 60% of Amazon’s $650 billion commitments falling after 2030.
Tuesday, August 25, 2026
Aug 25 STNE $2.2B StoneCo: Deep Value Hiding Behind Brazil's Rate Fears - For Now
IWA Research 7 clicks Aug 25 SBLK $3.4B Star Bulk Carriers: You Don't Need The Record Quarter
Kevin Avroutskii 4 clicksFrom X
Broken Moats on X
Wabash's $WNC rally reflects hopes for a replacement trailer market in 2027 and tariffs on Chinese suppliers, despite cyclical balance-sheet risk.
Mike on X
$META probably can serve more tactical ads if you know exactly what each user is willing to put money on (aka is paying attention to) in the moment! https://t.co/9DnpLAIS4i
Timyan Bank Alert on X
@Akston_Capital Putting aside what the shareholders, directors, activist ahareholders @HoldCoAM, his wife and anyone else, what does Chris Gorman, in his heart, want to accomplish at $KEY? Keep going as is? Acquire? Sell?
Psyop Capital on X
Is contextlogic interesting/worth digging into? $LOGC. I really like the Salt acquisition but seems like they paid a rich multiple for it. Fear this will end up in the graveyard of mini-Berkshires over time
Broken Moats on X
Little perplexed you get more negative redemption stories around private credit, and the market only sells off the the the pure play PE companies. First derivatives are up? $MFC $FG $MET $WAL all have sizable exposure to the same asset class.....
Psyop Capital on X
If it gets to mid to low 20s copart $Cprt seems like a good bet. Insurance mkt will harden and yes they have competition but duopolistic markets are still attractive and at 3-3.5x sales I think you’re good
Broken Moats on X
Almost a 40% spread opened up since the beginning of June (3 weeks ago!) between $MSFT and $SOXX Nearly 60% on $CRM and $SOXX... Buckle up
Broken Moats on X
FIS is framed as a deep-value payments opportunity amid an anticipated rotation out of semiconductor and mega-cap AI momentum names.
Investor Letters
All letters- Palm Harbour Capital July 2026 064850 $135M
- Protean Funds July 2026 DVYSR $107M
- Intrepid Capital 2Q26 GOOGL $4.2T
- Polaris Capital Management Second Quarter 2026 ENI $81B
- First Eagle Investments second quarter 2026 032830 $45B
- Oakmark Funds 2Q 2026 META $1.5T
- Greenhaven Road Capital second quarter ANAB $1.7B
- RGA Investment Advisors Q2 2026 ADBE $114B
WLDN 2026-08-25 Willdan Group: The Q2 Beat-And-Raise Confirms The Inflection
Miletus Research 3 clicks
Stripe’s “Singularity” and the Divergence from Adyen
Stripe’s net revenue rose 41% in 1H 2026 versus Adyen’s 21% FX-adjusted growth, fueled by AI-native startups and acquisitions including…
Core Memory
Airbnb Experiences faces a supply bottleneck from manual approvals, while a farm host raised her price from $15 to $25 after stronger…
$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners
El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…
CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage
CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…
Aloe Aloe Aloe what 'ave VERRA then?
Verra Mobility's new seven-year Avis agreement replaces a customer worth over 10% of revenue on materially worse economics, exposing…
NCLH or her grandma Saga?
Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…
Jumia
Jumia’s January 2028 $7/$15 call spread risks $1.15 for up to $6.85 if cost cuts and marketplace growth deliver adjusted EBITDA and…
Shitcos, Griftcos, and alignment versus enrichment at $IREN
IREN awarded each co-CEO roughly 9 million RSUs, about 2.5% of shares and $400 million, in exchange for no further equity grants until…
$NU: is Nubank Capital One in 1994 or Capital One in 2006? | Vanshap Capital
Nubank's 140 million customers, 20% efficiency ratio and 30% ROE frame whether its high-teens P/E reflects a scalable fintech or a maturing…
TTMI 2026-08-25 TTM Technologies: Priced Like A Board Shop, Booked Like A Defense Prime
Jaden Mealy 2 clicks ARQQ 2026-08-25 Arqit Quantum: The Little Boat That Couldn't
Luis Cortes Dequidt 2 clicks GEN 2026-08-25 Gen Digital: MoneyLion Opens A New Growth Channel At A Low Valuation
Manimala Misra 2 clicks DNTH 2026-08-25 Dianthus Therapeutics: The C1s Shakeout Strengthens The Bull Case
Equity Eagle 2 clicksOnce Upon A Farm Pbc
Once Upon a Farm (OFRM) makes organic baby food, smoothies and kid snacks using high-pressure processing instead of heat pasteurization.
NRIX 2026-08-24 Nurix Therapeutics: Roche Has Changed The Economics Of The Bull Case
Equity Eagle 3 clicks RCEL 2026-08-24 AVITA Medical: Favorable Reimbursements For Skin Wound Care
Myriam Alvarez 4 clicks HMY 2026-08-24 Harmony Gold Mining: A Copper Pioneer By Capitalizing On The Gold Tailwind (Reaffirming Buy)
Prakhar Agarwal, CFA 4 clicks UEC 2026-08-24 Uranium Energy Ranks High Among The Bravest Companies I Ever Covered
Marc Gerstein 3 clicks CVS 2026-08-24 CVS Health: Discounted, Vertically Integrated Healthcare Winner - Richer Returns Ahead
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