Big Tech Off-Balance Sheet Concerns
Big Tech’s $3 trillion AI commitments are disclosed and largely long-dated, with nearly 60% of Amazon’s $650 billion commitments falling after 2030.
Tuesday, August 25, 2026
26h ago STNE $2.3B StoneCo: Deep Value Hiding Behind Brazil's Rate Fears - For Now
IWA Research 26h ago SBLK $3.4B Star Bulk Carriers: You Don't Need The Record Quarter
Kevin Avroutskii From X
Broken Moats on X
Danaher rose from $165 to $190 despite disappointing bioprocessing sales and guidance, while Thermo Fisher and Repligen fell on weak results.
Broken Moats on X
Rollins' weak quarter pushes its valuation below $35 toward 15 to 18 times earnings, while Texas and Southeast growth supports recurring pest-control demand.
Broken Moats on X
Semiconductor swings and AI-driven software rallies have created idiosyncratic short setups, including private-credit-exposed insurers FG, MET and MFC and payroll vendors PCTY and PAYC.
Broken Moats on X
Stripe’s purchase of PayPal would give Venmo unlimited funding and intensify payments competition across Toast, StoneCo and Shift4.
Broken Moats on X
Costco’s commitment to an employee family’s health care and scheduling needs reflects a virtuous cycle of worker support, customer loyalty and financial success.
Broken Moats on X
WD-40 posted 30% Americas growth and 24% companywide growth, yet lifted full-year guidance only to 6%-9%, raising questions about forecasting and Asian inventory swings.
Broken Moats on X
Boston Scientific's $2 billion accelerated share repurchase ended June 30, coinciding with a sharp rebound from selloff lows.
Broken Moats on X
Robinhood’s perpetuals launch raises leverage risk, invoking bucket shops and the 1929 crash as warnings for a cycle bust.
Investor Letters
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TTMI 2026-08-25 TTM Technologies: Priced Like A Board Shop, Booked Like A Defense Prime
Jaden Mealy 
Stripe’s “Singularity” and the Divergence from Adyen
Stripe’s net revenue rose 41% in 1H 2026 versus Adyen’s 21% FX-adjusted growth, fueled by AI-native startups and acquisitions including…
Core Memory
Airbnb Experiences faces a supply bottleneck from manual approvals, while a farm host raised her price from $15 to $25 after stronger…
$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners
El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…
CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage
CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…
NCLH or her grandma Saga?
Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…
Shitcos, Griftcos, and alignment versus enrichment at $IREN
IREN awarded each co-CEO roughly 9 million RSUs, about 2.5% of shares and $400 million, in exchange for no further equity grants until…
$NU: is Nubank Capital One in 1994 or Capital One in 2006? | Vanshap Capital
Nubank's 140 million customers, 20% efficiency ratio and 30% ROE frame whether its high-teens P/E reflects a scalable fintech or a maturing…
The $1.5 Trillion of Hidden Debt Fueling the AI Boom | Robin Wigglesworth of FT Alphaville
Hyperscalers’ off-balance-sheet lease and purchase obligations rose from roughly $1 trillion to $1.5 trillion, turning the AI buildout into…
Will Hubspot go the way of the Dodo?
HubSpot trades near its 2020 share price despite quadrupled revenue and $750 million in free cash flow, with Breeze AI upside weighed…
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AI’s Achilles’ Heel: Why Everything Hinges on Anthropic & OpenAI | The Weekly Wrap
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