Monday, August 24, 2026
From X
Raging Capital Ventures on X
$META prepares to launch consumer AI offerings https://t.co/cB3kWOricw
David Orr on X
@SowingAlphaSeed So $AMZN probably has lots of sites to divert to compute if needed, no real permits even really required I bet...
Chris Camillo on X
@JakeNapppoa4 i don’t look at price but currently long $BE
Chris Camillo on X
Take-Two’s GTA VI outlook requires direct player feedback, not algorithm-amplified investor narratives.
BDC on X
$SOXX could go down 20% from here and still be up over 30% YTD
Raging Capital Ventures on X
Micron and SanDisk should return cash or wait for a cycle downturn rather than repurchase shares near the memory-cycle peak at roughly 20 times invested capital.
David Orr on X
@grok @jasondebolt Put that another way, you could have known Burry or Einhorn didn't have a real track record back in the mid 2000s, if you'd just realized they were betting huge on the value factor. Same thing with $ARKK through 2021.
David Orr on X
GameStop and AMC investors who sold near the 2021 peak would still compound at 65% and 80% annually after five inactive years.
Investor Letters
All letters- Palm Harbour Capital July 2026 064850 $135M
- Protean Funds July 2026 DVYSR $107M
- Intrepid Capital 2Q 2026
- Polaris Capital Management Second Quarter 2026 ENI $81B
- First Eagle Investments second quarter 2026 032830 $45B
- Oakmark Funds 2Q 2026 META $1.5T
- Greenhaven Road Capital second quarter ANAB $1.7B
- RGA Investment Advisors Q2 2026 ADBE $114B
AVITA Medical: Favorable Reimbursements For Skin Wound Care
Harmony Gold Mining: A Copper Pioneer By Capitalizing On The Gold Tailwind (Reaffirming Buy)
Core Memory
Airbnb Experiences faces a supply bottleneck from manual approvals, while a farm host raised her price from $15 to $25 after stronger…
The Non-linear Economics of Grocery Delivery Basket
Instacart’s larger grocery baskets create disproportionately better delivery economics than DoorDash’s, making half the basket size worth…
$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners
El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…
CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage
CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…
Aloe Aloe Aloe what 'ave VERRA then?
Verra Mobility's new seven-year Avis agreement replaces a customer worth over 10% of revenue on materially worse economics, exposing…
NCLH or her grandma Saga?
Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…
Jumia
Jumia’s January 2028 $7/$15 call spread risks $1.15 for up to $6.85 if cost cuts and marketplace growth deliver adjusted EBITDA and…
Shitcos, Griftcos, and alignment versus enrichment at $IREN
IREN awarded each co-CEO roughly 9 million RSUs, about 2.5% of shares and $400 million, in exchange for no further equity grants until…
AXT’s Tongmei Problem: Great Asset, Fragile Economics
AXT’s 85.5%-owned Tongmei depends on offshore pricing, export approvals and transfer-pricing economics despite AI-optics demand.
Return of the Power King
China Yuchai (CYD) seeks a 2026 rerating as governance normalization, global expansion, AI data-center power demand, and green-powertrain…
The Announcement That Changes Everything
China Yuchai’s potential MGP IPO could separate its data-center and genset arm, with employee incentives tied to a listing and a proposed…
Monster in the Middle: Unpacking the High-Stakes Buyout Battle
Energy Monster’s $1.25-per-ADS management buyout faces Hillhouse Capital’s fully funded $1.77 competing offer, turning the Chinese…
CYD and H22 Results First Take:
CYD’s FY24 earnings miss reflected ¥200m of one-offs; adjusted net income reached roughly ¥430m and operating cash flow rose 40%.
Portfolio Updates
CYD was sold near $21 versus an $11 entry after exceeding a $19.50 target; proceeds moved to H22.SI, whose CYD stake implies $1.30 NAV and…
Yonex (TYO:7906) - Playing the Long Game
Yonex controls 60%+ of global badminton and trades at 8.5x forward EBITDA despite 40% five-year earnings compounding, with buybacks…
Hong Leong Asia: Unveiling Undervalued Gems in CYD’s Parent Company
Hong Leong Asia (SGX: H22) has 40% base-case upside, driven by its CYD stake’s data-center opportunity and Singapore-Malaysia…
China Yuchai: Deep Value Meets Growth (NYSE:CYD)
China Yuchai (CYD) trades at 2x EBITDA and 0.3x book as data-center backup-power demand, buybacks, and net cash support an earnings…
The last Bristol Myers' blog post was wrong on the core thesis
Ivonescimab plus chemotherapy extended median overall survival by 4.2 months versus Tevimbra plus chemotherapy in HARMONI-6, challenging…
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