TFPM 2026-08-22 Triple Flag Precious Metals: Ravenswood Turns Optionality Into Duration
Capital Connoisseur Saturday, August 22, 2026
TFPM 2026-08-22 Capital Connoisseur Aug 22 UUUU $3.7B Energy Fuels: The Largest Combined Uranium And Rare Earth Company In North America
Joseph L. Shaefer Aug 22 LLY $1.2T Eli Lilly: Shaking Off Competition From The Dethroned Novo Nordisk
JR Research From X
mavix on X
I just published the Earnings Update about the Q2 2026 results of Leatt $LEAT. You can find it in the Portfolio section of the blog :) https://t.co/HSSFsXmH3R
Ian Bezek on X
@OtterMarket @gatorcapital $tfsl is just under a billion when you exclude the phantom shares. I've owned it a long time and very few people care about it either. That said, this NY one is even more obscure
Ian Bezek on X
@stoked_on_waves @CapitalShipyard $open's backers also claim it is profitable. Apparently you can just say stuff now
BDC on X
Moderna faces a predicted large secondary offering and insider sales as its mRNA cancer therapy’s commercialization and clinical benefit are challenged.
BDC on X
This is really bullish $STLN. Their data underpins much of the potential here in oncology immunotherapies. https://t.co/mimQBZ9OM2
JabroniCoin.USD on X
Steadily down, then suddenly. H/T @forgebitz Semrush showed signficant decline for $RDDT citations last year, and now a sudden further plummet. Perhaps human shitposting and SEO AI slop fest isn’t indispensable data… https://t.co/aSIBSTBUfE https://t.co/z0EEAvAm7E
BDC on X
Moderna’s Phase 3 cancer-vaccine announcement reports endpoint success without disclosing recurrence-free, distant-metastasis-free or overall-survival data, leaving the clinical bar unknown.
mavix on X
Shelly Group entered a pan-European distribution partnership with ALSO, expanding access to resellers, system integrators and professional installers.
Investor Letters
All letters- Palm Harbour Capital second quarter
- Intrepid Capital 2Q 2026 +6.6%
- First Eagle Investments 3Q 2025 +9.2%
- Palm Harbour Capital third quarter
- Bireme Capital 2Q22 -1.4%
- Bireme Capital first five months of 2023 +8.0%
- Polaris Capital Management FIRST QUARTER 2026 +5.1%
- Polaris Capital Management SECOND QUARTER 2026 +12.3%
The Non-linear Economics of Grocery Delivery Basket
Instacart’s larger grocery baskets create disproportionately better delivery economics than DoorDash’s, making half the basket size worth…
Walmart’s Evolution
Walmart says Medicare Maximum Fair Price rules will cut FY27 US comps by 125 basis points, while pharmacy margins and prescription volumes…
$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners
El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…
Instacart’s Unit Economics, and Implications for DoorDash
Instacart’s per-order unit economics provide a benchmark for assessing DoorDash’s LTM profitability and operating model.
CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage
CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…
Aloe Aloe Aloe what 'ave VERRA then?
Verra Mobility's new seven-year Avis agreement replaces a customer worth over 10% of revenue on materially worse economics, exposing…
NCLH or her grandma Saga?
Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…
Jumia
Jumia’s January 2028 $7/$15 call spread risks $1.15 for up to $6.85 if cost cuts and marketplace growth deliver adjusted EBITDA and…
Shitcos, Griftcos, and alignment versus enrichment at $IREN
IREN awarded each co-CEO roughly 9 million RSUs, about 2.5% of shares and $400 million, in exchange for no further equity grants until…
$NU: is Nubank Capital One in 1994 or Capital One in 2006? | Vanshap Capital
Nubank's 140 million customers, 20% efficiency ratio and 30% ROE frame whether its high-teens P/E reflects a scalable fintech or a maturing…
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The $1.5 Trillion of Hidden Debt Fueling the AI Boom | Robin Wigglesworth of FT Alphaville
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AI’s Achilles’ Heel: Why Everything Hinges on Anthropic & OpenAI | The Weekly Wrap
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$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management
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