NCLH or her grandma Saga?
Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028 profit.
Wednesday, August 19, 2026
From X
Raging Capital Ventures on X
$AGYS does not see negative impact of AI on enterprise software companies, argues that they are "seeing the opposite effect." Also notes the cost/benefit analysis favors software subscriptions vs. investing in expensive AI development. https://t.co/W4qnsF26r4
Raging Capital Ventures on X
I pitched $ORCL at $285 as a short last October at my conference. Now at $120 think it is intriguing as a long… https://t.co/8QB7O3VSoH
Raging Capital Ventures on X
@retaox The $CHTR broadband offering is much more competitively priced today due to tech upgrades, limited pricing increases in recent years, aggressive retention incentives, and investments into the video/wireless bundle.
Raging Capital Ventures on X
Shorted a bunch of $AAPL and bought puts over last few days. Seems very overbought (was it a funding short?) and at a good level to find resistance. Edge AI models should ultimately be good for $AAPL, but company still has grossly mismanaged the AI opp and memory is a headwind.
Raging Capital Ventures on X
Meta is bought around $590 to $600 despite heavy AI capex, on Reels engagement gains, ad-network tailwinds and AI-driven operating efficiencies.
Raging Capital Ventures on X
Comcast’s Peacock, NBCU and theme parks are valued near its market cap, while a 6% dividend and a 2027 spin support the cable turnaround thesis.
Raging Capital Ventures on X
Charter Communications trades near 2x pro forma 2028 free cash flow per share ahead of its Cox acquisition, with buybacks, swaps, wireless growth and pricing offsetting broadband pressure.
Raging Capital Ventures on X
I’ve been legging into $AMD short https://t.co/XWmhyYgpFC
Investor Letters
All letters- First Eagle Investments second quarter 2026 +5.0%
- RGA Investment Advisors Q3 2025
- RGA Investment Advisors Q4 2025
- Royce Investment Partners year-to-date period ended 6/30/26 +23.8%
- Broyhill Asset Management first quarter -6.0%
- Greenhaven Road Capital first quarter +17.0%
- Greenhaven Road Capital first quarter
- Weitz Investment Management 3Q25
$NU: is Nubank Capital One in 1994 or Capital One in 2006? | Vanshap Capital
Nubank's 140 million customers, 20% efficiency ratio and 30% ROE frame whether its high-teens P/E reflects a scalable fintech or a maturing…
Why DoorDash’s Autonomous Strategy Beats Uber’s Hodgepodge
DoorDash’s integrated autonomous-delivery strategy contrasts with Uber’s 2026 divestment of Serve Robotics, its former delivery-robot…
The $1.5 Trillion of Hidden Debt Fueling the AI Boom | Robin Wigglesworth of FT Alphaville
Hyperscalers’ off-balance-sheet lease and purchase obligations rose from roughly $1 trillion to $1.5 trillion, turning the AI buildout into…
Will Hubspot go the way of the Dodo?
HubSpot trades near its 2020 share price despite quadrupled revenue and $750 million in free cash flow, with Breeze AI upside weighed…
AI’s Achilles’ Heel: Why Everything Hinges on Anthropic & OpenAI | The Weekly Wrap
Steve Eisman argues the AI boom hinges on Anthropic and OpenAI’s importance to hyperscalers, while weighing software, CoreWeave and Cisco…
$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management
DNOW’s MRC Global merger targets $75 million of synergies, with a 2029 bull case of $30 to $32 per share driven by cash flow and rerating.
The AI Compute Squeeze
CoreWeave and Nebius cite AI compute shortages and higher-priced GPU renewals, but older-chip utilization and depreciation vary across…
Are Department Stores Finally Shortable?
Macy’s and Kohl’s face renewed short cases as their recent reratings ignore fading store-refresh gains, credit-card earnings exposure and…
[scuttleslops] ZTS, APO, FISV, TTD, RELY
Zoetis’s U.S. companion-animal revenue fell 6% as dermatology competition drove rebates and discounts, pushing full-year net pricing to…
The Impact of Autonomous Vehicles on Copart, A Timeline-Based Assessment - ($CPRT)
Copart faces a near-term lift from pricier AV repairs and total losses, but shrinking accident volumes could eventually force its…
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[V, MA] The more things change, the more they stay the same
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