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Bullpen.News From Edwin Dorsey

Wednesday, August 19, 2026

NCLH or her grandma Saga?

Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028 profit.

The Oak Bloke Aug 19

Airbnb Model Update (2026)

MBI Deep Dives Aug 19

Shitcos, Griftcos, and alignment versus enrichment at $IREN

Yet Another Value Blog Aug 18

From X

@BlueDuckCap Jul 30

BDC on X

Apple trades at 35 times earnings despite Services deceleration and slowing China revenue, with harder comparisons ahead and near-doubled market capitalization raising ownership risk.

@BlueDuckCap Jul 30

BDC on X

A few mins to go, but this has been by far Andy Jassy's best call ever as CEO. Well done sir. $AMZN

@BlueDuckCap Jul 30

BDC on X

$AMZN op margin of 13.7% is its highest quarterly margin ever by a pretty wide margin. ROIC showing itself.

@BlueDuckCap Jul 30

BDC on X

In July the bubble moved over into $AAPL where it was hanging out during the semis blood bath. $AAPL with a so/so print is constructive since that there the bubble has been parked.

@BlueDuckCap Jul 30

BDC on X

$AMZN incremental AWS margins are 57% and operating cash flow grew +40% against a much harder comp. These types of numbers show that ROIC is there on the capex.

@BlueDuckCap Jul 30

BDC on X

I know I was poking some fun at $META last night but I think its a buy here in all seriousness. Not advice. But lots of ways to win in the end. Not advice, do own DD etc. I could be wrong.

@BlueDuckCap Jul 29

BDC on X

Microsoft’s results showed accelerating Azure growth, compute demand gains and operating cash flow growth above 30%, supporting the AI infrastructure trade despite lower reported capex from accounting changes.

@BlueDuckCap Jul 29

BDC on X

$MSFT is showing us how to have your AI cake and eat it too. Zuck should take notes

Investor Letters

$NU: is Nubank Capital One in 1994 or Capital One in 2006? | Vanshap Capital

Nubank's 140 million customers, 20% efficiency ratio and 30% ROE frame whether its high-teens P/E reflects a scalable fintech or a maturing…

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 17

Why DoorDash’s Autonomous Strategy Beats Uber’s Hodgepodge

DoorDash’s integrated autonomous-delivery strategy contrasts with Uber’s 2026 divestment of Serve Robotics, its former delivery-robot…

MBI Deep Dives Aug 17

The $1.5 Trillion of Hidden Debt Fueling the AI Boom | Robin Wigglesworth of FT Alphaville

Hyperscalers’ off-balance-sheet lease and purchase obligations rose from roughly $1 trillion to $1.5 trillion, turning the AI buildout into…

The Monetary Matters Network Aug 16

Will Hubspot go the way of the Dodo?

HubSpot trades near its 2020 share price despite quadrupled revenue and $750 million in free cash flow, with Breeze AI upside weighed…

The Oak Bloke Aug 16

AI’s Achilles’ Heel: Why Everything Hinges on Anthropic & OpenAI | The Weekly Wrap

Steve Eisman argues the AI boom hinges on Anthropic and OpenAI’s importance to hyperscalers, while weighing software, CoreWeave and Cisco…

Steve Eisman Aug 14

$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management

DNOW’s MRC Global merger targets $75 million of synergies, with a 2029 bull case of $30 to $32 per share driven by cash flow and rerating.

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 14

The AI Compute Squeeze

CoreWeave and Nebius cite AI compute shortages and higher-priced GPU renewals, but older-chip utilization and depreciation vary across…

MBI Deep Dives Aug 14

Are Department Stores Finally Shortable?

Macy’s and Kohl’s face renewed short cases as their recent reratings ignore fading store-refresh gains, credit-card earnings exposure and…

Bristlemoon Capital Aug 13

ZTS 2026-08-13

[scuttleslops] ZTS, APO, FISV, TTD, RELY

Zoetis’s U.S. companion-animal revenue fell 6% as dermatology competition drove rebates and discounts, pushing full-year net pricing to…

scuttleblurb Aug 13

The Impact of Autonomous Vehicles on Copart, A Timeline-Based Assessment - ($CPRT)

Copart faces a near-term lift from pricier AV repairs and total losses, but shrinking accident volumes could eventually force its…

Bearhold Research Aug 13

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Permian Basin Q2 Update – Power, Water, Solid Waste, and Data Centers

310 Value’s Newsletter Aug 12

$UWMC lost $600m hedging a deal they'd already lost

Yet Another Value Blog Aug 11

Private Credit's Clock is Ticking w/ Glenn Schorr & Ken Worthington | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 72

Steve Eisman Aug 10

Alphabet Inc. ($GOOGL) - Deep Dive

Bearhold Research Aug 10

[V, MA] The more things change, the more they stay the same

scuttleblurb Aug 10

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