Airbnb Model Update (2026)
Airbnb shares have risen about 50% since October 2025, prompting a revised 2026 model and return assumptions at the current price.
Wednesday, August 19, 2026
From X
JabroniCoin.USD on X
The basin isn’t that deep. Bullish $EQT. Low investment + LNG + datacenter demand = convexity https://t.co/USzDD8u9uB
Rusholme Capital on X
Software, semiconductors and financials look expensive, while CDW returned to revenue growth. High-ticket consumer goods and transport are weak, but travel and Canadian housing show strength.
Chris Camillo on X
@Anointed_Ape Inconsequential. $AMZN no small cap
Chris Camillo on X
Would’ve been a $20B+ positive swing if they’d just followed me into $AMZN at 1x leverage. And they call us Dumb Money. https://t.co/WZVVizF9zL
Raging Capital Ventures on X
@pradeeepk $AMD + ASICs will eat $NVDA margins
Raging Capital Ventures on X
Bill.com was sold after a 50%+ rebound, while HubSpot and Workday positions are actively traded with calls and short puts. Small shorts target Adobe, ServiceNow, Atlassian, Sprinklr and Yext.
Raging Capital Ventures on X
Altria's smokeless products lack traction as Marlboro loses share and cigarette volumes fall, making $MO a trading short.
Raging Capital Ventures on X
OpenAI “ARR” apparently run rating at $60 b, and (for the most part) they haven’t yet monetized their 1 billion weekly consumer actives. Bullish $ORCL. https://t.co/pBDIrTTAqV
Investor Letters
All letters- First Eagle Investments second quarter 2026 +5.0%
- RGA Investment Advisors Q3 2025
- RGA Investment Advisors Q4 2025
- Royce Investment Partners year-to-date period ended 6/30/26 +23.8%
- Broyhill Asset Management first quarter -6.0%
- Greenhaven Road Capital first quarter +17.0%
- Greenhaven Road Capital first quarter
- Weitz Investment Management 3Q25
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Older Stories
[V, MA] The more things change, the more they stay the same
scuttleblurb
SpaceX Disappoints, AI's Free Cash Flow Shrinks, Meta Struggles | The Weekly Wrap
Steve Eisman BKNG 2026-08-07[scuttleslops] BKNG, ABNB, SHOP, LPX, TREX, XYZ
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Coupang: 2Q26 Business Recap
Speedwell Memos
The last Bristol Myers' blog post was wrong on the core thesis
John Hempton's NewsletterTopics
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