Airbnb Model Update (2026)
Airbnb shares have risen about 50% since October 2025, prompting a revised 2026 model and return assumptions at the current price.
Wednesday, August 19, 2026
From X
BDC on X
@DueDoctor All goes well this could add $800mn in annual revenue to $mrna. Added $44B in market cap. Market said that theoretical 2-3 year out revenue is worth 50x + yesterdays' market cap
Ian Bezek on X
Atlassian $TEAM now up 214% since April, and +5% YTD. Market very efficiently determining future discounted cash flows from software companies, I see.
BDC on X
Moderna faces a predicted large secondary offering and insider sales as its mRNA cancer therapy’s commercialization and clinical benefit are challenged.
JabroniCoin.USD on X
Steadily down, then suddenly. H/T @forgebitz Semrush showed signficant decline for $RDDT citations last year, and now a sudden further plummet. Perhaps human shitposting and SEO AI slop fest isn’t indispensable data… https://t.co/aSIBSTBUfE https://t.co/z0EEAvAm7E
BDC on X
Moderna’s Phase 3 cancer-vaccine announcement reports endpoint success without disclosing recurrence-free, distant-metastasis-free or overall-survival data, leaving the clinical bar unknown.
Raging Capital Ventures on X
Overview of new Permian gas takeaway options $ET https://t.co/d6v7olZYwB
Chris Camillo on X
@ryanTesling @mact3333 @Kalshi_Finance Unless I’m not in a short-dated highly leveraged trade, I’m not paying attention to the day-to-day. I want to see $AMZN go down so I can re-lever at lower prices.
Investor Letters
All letters- Merion Road Capital Q2 2026 +16.6%
- Distillate Capital 2026 Q2
- O'Keefe Stevens Advisory Q2 2026
- CrossingBridge Advisors Q2 2026
- GreensKeeper Asset Management Q2 +10.9%
- LVS Advisory first half of 2026
- Patient Capital Management 1Q26 -6.0%
- FPA Crescent Fund 2Q26 +7.1%
- Hayden Capital Q1 2026 -28.3%
- Protean Funds July 2026 +5.4%
- Polaris Capital Management SECOND QUARTER 2026 +13.3%
- Palm Harbour Capital second quarter +4.7%
- Third Avenue Management Q226 +1.3%
- Patient Capital Management 2Q26 +17.3%
- Polen Capital 5Perspectives Growth Opportunities 2Q 2026 +25.2%
- Laughing Water Capital H1 2026 +33.6%
Why DoorDash’s Autonomous Strategy Beats Uber’s Hodgepodge
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The $1.5 Trillion of Hidden Debt Fueling the AI Boom | Robin Wigglesworth of FT Alphaville
Hyperscalers’ off-balance-sheet lease and purchase obligations rose from roughly $1 trillion to $1.5 trillion, turning the AI buildout into…
Will Hubspot go the way of the Dodo?
HubSpot trades near its 2020 share price despite quadrupled revenue and $750 million in free cash flow, with Breeze AI upside weighed…
AI’s Achilles’ Heel: Why Everything Hinges on Anthropic & OpenAI | The Weekly Wrap
Steve Eisman argues the AI boom hinges on Anthropic and OpenAI’s importance to hyperscalers, while weighing software, CoreWeave and Cisco…
The AI Compute Squeeze
CoreWeave and Nebius cite AI compute shortages and higher-priced GPU renewals, but older-chip utilization and depreciation vary across…
[scuttleslops] ZTS, APO, FISV, TTD, RELY
Zoetis’s U.S. companion-animal revenue fell 6% as dermatology competition drove rebates and discounts, pushing full-year net pricing to…
The Impact of Autonomous Vehicles on Copart, A Timeline-Based Assessment - ($CPRT)
Copart faces a near-term lift from pricier AV repairs and total losses, but shrinking accident volumes could eventually force its…
Permian Basin Q2 Update – Power, Water, Solid Waste, and Data Centers
GFL’s proposed acquisition of Secure follows 19% revenue growth at Secure and 14.8% EBITDA growth at GFL, with Permian produced-water and…
Private Credit's Clock is Ticking w/ Glenn Schorr & Ken Worthington | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 72
Glenn Schorr and Ken Worthington discuss risks in private-credit software loans, agentic AI at retail brokers, crypto use cases and bank…
Alphabet Inc. ($GOOGL) - Deep Dive
Alphabet's Google Cloud swung from a $3.1 billion operating loss in 2021 to $13.9 billion profit in 2025 as Search revenue grew 13.2%.
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Older Stories
[V, MA] The more things change, the more they stay the same
scuttleblurb
SpaceX Disappoints, AI's Free Cash Flow Shrinks, Meta Struggles | The Weekly Wrap
Steve Eisman BKNG 2026-08-07[scuttleslops] BKNG, ABNB, SHOP, LPX, TREX, XYZ
scuttleblurb
Coupang: 2Q26 Business Recap
Speedwell Memos
The last Bristol Myers' blog post was wrong on the core thesis
John Hempton's NewsletterTopics
Ordered by how often our editor reaches for them.
