Jumia
Jumia’s January 2028 $7/$15 call spread risks $1.15 for up to $6.85 if cost cuts and marketplace growth deliver adjusted EBITDA and cash-flow breakeven in Q4 2026.
Tuesday, August 18, 2026
From X
catechwilliams on X
SRS is a private-equity rollup of landscaping, pool and roofing distributors, lacking exclusive supplier relationships and serving smaller homebuilders.
catechwilliams on X
$GMS Underfollowed building products distributor, HSD growth, favorable mix shift/ margin, tracking to beat estimates, trading at 10x EPS, 7x EBITDA. Peers at >50% higher multiples. $HD just acquired lower quality peer SRS for 17x EBITDA. GMS = $240 or +150% at that multiple.
catechwilliams on X
$CVGW Situation getting : 1) being investigated by SEC, DOJ for bribery, cartel dealings, 2) intensely competitive biz, losing customers/ share w zero earnings; 3) sale of struggling prepared segment faltering. None of this is priced-in yet. Next 2 quarters likely a disaster.
catechwilliams on X
$LYTS Very attractive acq of EMI following successful prior M&A blueprint--significant cross-selling op, cost reduction, expands product set which further solidifies dominant national position. Seeing +50% upside to shares from here.
catechwilliams on X
$DAKT. Over the last 3 weeks have won several large upgrades—Colorado, UVa football stadiums. Each $15M projects to boost backlog and revenue >10% in the next quarter, further solidifying dominant market position. https://t.co/JFou9jCYxr
catechwilliams on X
$GMS Ray Jay Conf right now. Tracking well ahead of recent guide—new larger wins, wallboard prices +MSD last 2 wks, accel share gains, hi margin complimentary biz organically 2x in 3 yrs. 10x P/E vs peers at 15-20x (BLDR, BLD, IBP). Long runway for growth w strong balance sheet.
catechwilliams on X
$CVGW It appears DOJ and SEC are investigating for Foreign Corrupt Practices Act violations in Mexico. Could result in fines, revocation of FDA license to distribute in US. Shocking no one is considering this existential risk. https://t.co/Icgbfgjn4a
catechwilliams on X
$CART Moved forward its lock-up expiration date to 2/16 (Thursday) from the original 3/19. >65% of the shares will be eligible for sale. COO leaving, just announced a restructuring w ambitious guidance. Almost certainly did so to support the stock in advance of a secondary.
Investor Letters
All letters- Royce Investment Partners year-to-date period ended 6/30/26 +23.8%
- First Eagle Investments 2Q 2026 -16.6%
- Broyhill Asset Management first quarter -6.0%
- Greenhaven Road Capital first quarter +17.0%
- Greenhaven Road Capital first quarter
- Weitz Investment Management 3Q25
- Oakmark Funds 2Q 2026 +2.5%
- Southeastern Asset Management 2Q26 +3.9%
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