Jumia
Jumia’s January 2028 $7/$15 call spread risks $1.15 for up to $6.85 if cost cuts and marketplace growth deliver adjusted EBITDA and cash-flow breakeven in Q4 2026.
Tuesday, August 18, 2026
From X
Nat Stewart on X
The funny part about the WSB action in $WEN is that they hit on a pretty compelling idea with a hugely skewed risk/reward. Thinking the bull case needs to be about "squeezing shorts" to "save Wendy's" or similar BS is absurd.
marginofdanger on X
$TIPT filed an 8-K this morning where they said they expected the Fortegra deal to close by Friday 5/29. Pro forma TBV is ~$24/share, stock last 17.17.
marginofdanger on X
Seems like $MLP may be selling its water assets to Maui for $30 million https://t.co/hFHq1VRZ20
marginofdanger on X
The SF housing market is on fire. Should bode very well for $FPH's Candlestick project, including finding financing partners. https://t.co/vFjXoS2coK
marginofdanger on X
Pershing Square trades near 50 times estimated earnings, with $21 billion of fee-paying AUM against a $13 billion equity value and potential post-lockup selling pressure.
marginofdanger on X
Seems like $PSUS and $PS going to trade worse than I expected. Looks like PSUS could open at a 20% discount to NAV and PS to trade below the $10 bn valuation from the latest 3rd party pre-IPO raise. https://t.co/Ix6uqF61LJ https://t.co/F5UNDNNVMb
marginofdanger on X
@EricTheUmpire If you want exposure, buy $PSH.LN (or $PSHZF) which is trading at around 70% of NAV (implies $35/share for $PSUS). https://t.co/oSFLPLfnqr
marginofdanger on X
Pershing Square USA will list at $50 per share alongside a direct listing of manager PS, whose free shares may offset an expected 5 to 10% closed-end-fund NAV discount.
Investor Letters
All letters- Royce Investment Partners year-to-date period ended 6/30/26 +23.8%
- First Eagle Investments 2Q 2026 -16.6%
- Broyhill Asset Management first quarter -6.0%
- Greenhaven Road Capital first quarter +17.0%
- Greenhaven Road Capital first quarter
- Weitz Investment Management 3Q25
- Oakmark Funds 2Q 2026 +2.5%
- Southeastern Asset Management 2Q26 +3.9%
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