$NU: is Nubank Capital One in 1994 or Capital One in 2006? | Vanshap Capital
Nubank's 140 million customers, 20% efficiency ratio and 30% ROE frame whether its high-teens P/E reflects a scalable fintech or a maturing Brazilian lender.
Monday, August 17, 2026
From X
catechwilliams on X
AI data-center vacancy rates are 2-3% as tenants scramble for compute capacity; a customer loss raises doubts that WYFI can replace it after NC-1 performance issues.
catechwilliams on X
The $WYFI data center which was formerly a food distribution center. https://t.co/t2cpUNZXqp
catechwilliams on X
$WYFI Retrofitted a food distro warehouse into a NC-1 DC. Lost anchor tenant ($20M rev), promising a new large customer since 10/27. CEO claiming “very very soon” for last 20 days. Increasingly evident will not happen. Sell-side & stock prices assume huge rev ramp. Burning cash.
catechwilliams on X
$PTRN Recent IPO. $AMZN Mktplace wholesaler. Buys products up front, capital intensive, bears price, inventory risk. Exposed to FBA cost & AMZN algo changes. Claims AI optimization which AMZN explicitly blocks. Razor thin margins, neg op leverage. All peers went BK in last 3yrs.
catechwilliams on X
$QSG Announced the core business sold for only $2.5M. This was 100% of the company as recently as April. Now it's a fad toy company trading at 4-5x sales (FY2026 sales guide of $100M-$150M, +$500M mkt cap). Legacy VCs almost certainly going to unload now.
catechwilliams on X
$QSG: Delayed filing. Mounting accounting issues. Failed ed biz buying a toy company (highly dilutive). US-based VC fund DCM owns 21% S/O. Will be hard to justify an investment in an ed company that devolved into a toy business to their LPs. Likely the next legacy holder to sell.
catechwilliams on X
$QSG Failing Chinese online learning company made a “strategic pivot toward product-driven business” by acquiring a single product toy biz: 1) March acq 61% for $33M, 2) 3 weeks ago acq at 5x that prior valuation. Massively dilutive. Legacy VCs selling fast, report this week.
catechwilliams on X
$RDDT I don't make bold predictions. I'm a conservative doctor but it will likely be the next $META or $GOOG. Look at those companies 8-10 years ago. Very similar fact pattern. Now $RDDT is dominating search w highly valuable AI. +78% rev on tough comp and just getting started.
Investor Letters
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The $1.5 Trillion of Hidden Debt Fueling the AI Boom | Robin Wigglesworth of FT Alphaville
Hyperscalers’ off-balance-sheet lease and purchase obligations rose from roughly $1 trillion to $1.5 trillion, turning the AI buildout into…
Will Hubspot go the way of the Dodo?
HubSpot trades near its 2020 share price despite quadrupled revenue and $750 million in free cash flow, with Breeze AI upside weighed…
AI’s Achilles’ Heel: Why Everything Hinges on Anthropic & OpenAI | The Weekly Wrap
Steve Eisman argues the AI boom hinges on Anthropic and OpenAI’s importance to hyperscalers, while weighing software, CoreWeave and Cisco…
$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management
DNOW’s MRC Global merger targets $75 million of synergies, with a 2029 bull case of $30 to $32 per share driven by cash flow and rerating.
The AI Compute Squeeze
CoreWeave and Nebius cite AI compute shortages and higher-priced GPU renewals, but older-chip utilization and depreciation vary across…
Are Department Stores Finally Shortable?
Macy’s and Kohl’s face renewed short cases as their recent reratings ignore fading store-refresh gains, credit-card earnings exposure and…
Why I am going to utilize options more to manage my portfolio
Options strategies will manage portfolio risk after Meta, Alphabet and Amazon calls drove gains, while Lululemon LEAPs produced an 80% loss.
[scuttleslops] ZTS, APO, FISV, TTD, RELY
Zoetis’s U.S. companion-animal revenue fell 6% as dermatology competition drove rebates and discounts, pushing full-year net pricing to…
The Impact of Autonomous Vehicles on Copart, A Timeline-Based Assessment - ($CPRT)
Copart faces a near-term lift from pricier AV repairs and total losses, but shrinking accident volumes could eventually force its…
Permian Basin Q2 Update – Power, Water, Solid Waste, and Data Centers
GFL’s proposed acquisition of Secure follows 19% revenue growth at Secure and 14.8% EBITDA growth at GFL, with Permian produced-water and…
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