$NU: is Nubank Capital One in 1994 or Capital One in 2006? | Vanshap Capital
Nubank's 140 million customers, 20% efficiency ratio and 30% ROE frame whether its high-teens P/E reflects a scalable fintech or a maturing Brazilian lender.
Monday, August 17, 2026
From X
marginofdanger on X
Don't normally focus on sellside notes but in this instance Pablo Zuanic is on point re: $MAPS https://t.co/5ZgejaYBR7
marginofdanger on X
$TIPT filed an 8-K this morning where they said they expected the Fortegra deal to close by Friday 5/29. Pro forma TBV is ~$24/share, stock last 17.17.
marginofdanger on X
CBBI trades at 0.4x because of its OTC listing and no buyback; projected five-year value is $18.66 without repurchases versus $19.10 with them.
marginofdanger on X
CBBI’s five-year scenarios find reinvesting its $0.50 annual dividend roughly matches a buyback, assuming a sale at 100% of tangible book value. Buybacks lose value if repurchases rise above 0.4x TBV.
marginofdanger on X
Seems like $MLP may be selling its water assets to Maui for $30 million https://t.co/hFHq1VRZ20
marginofdanger on X
The SF housing market is on fire. Should bode very well for $FPH's Candlestick project, including finding financing partners. https://t.co/vFjXoS2coK
marginofdanger on X
Pershing Square trades near 50 times estimated earnings, with $21 billion of fee-paying AUM against a $13 billion equity value and potential post-lockup selling pressure.
marginofdanger on X
Seems like $PSUS and $PS going to trade worse than I expected. Looks like PSUS could open at a 20% discount to NAV and PS to trade below the $10 bn valuation from the latest 3rd party pre-IPO raise. https://t.co/Ix6uqF61LJ https://t.co/F5UNDNNVMb
Investor Letters
All letters- Patient Capital Management 3Q25 +14.1%
- Patient Capital Management fourth quarter of 2025 +6.0%
- Ariel Investments Quarter Ended June 30, 2026 +13.6%
- Artisan Partners Q2 2026 +12.4%
- Weitz Investment Management 4Q25
- Weitz Investment Management second quarter
- O'Keefe Stevens Advisory Q3 2025
- O'Keefe Stevens Advisory Q4 2025
The $1.5 Trillion of Hidden Debt Fueling the AI Boom | Robin Wigglesworth of FT Alphaville
Hyperscalers’ off-balance-sheet lease and purchase obligations rose from roughly $1 trillion to $1.5 trillion, turning the AI buildout into…
Will Hubspot go the way of the Dodo?
HubSpot trades near its 2020 share price despite quadrupled revenue and $750 million in free cash flow, with Breeze AI upside weighed…
AI’s Achilles’ Heel: Why Everything Hinges on Anthropic & OpenAI | The Weekly Wrap
Steve Eisman argues the AI boom hinges on Anthropic and OpenAI’s importance to hyperscalers, while weighing software, CoreWeave and Cisco…
$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management
DNOW’s MRC Global merger targets $75 million of synergies, with a 2029 bull case of $30 to $32 per share driven by cash flow and rerating.
The AI Compute Squeeze
CoreWeave and Nebius cite AI compute shortages and higher-priced GPU renewals, but older-chip utilization and depreciation vary across…
Are Department Stores Finally Shortable?
Macy’s and Kohl’s face renewed short cases as their recent reratings ignore fading store-refresh gains, credit-card earnings exposure and…
Why I am going to utilize options more to manage my portfolio
Options strategies will manage portfolio risk after Meta, Alphabet and Amazon calls drove gains, while Lululemon LEAPs produced an 80% loss.
[scuttleslops] ZTS, APO, FISV, TTD, RELY
Zoetis’s U.S. companion-animal revenue fell 6% as dermatology competition drove rebates and discounts, pushing full-year net pricing to…
The Impact of Autonomous Vehicles on Copart, A Timeline-Based Assessment - ($CPRT)
Copart faces a near-term lift from pricier AV repairs and total losses, but shrinking accident volumes could eventually force its…
Permian Basin Q2 Update – Power, Water, Solid Waste, and Data Centers
GFL’s proposed acquisition of Secure follows 19% revenue growth at Secure and 14.8% EBITDA growth at GFL, with Permian produced-water and…
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