Latest News
From X
catechwilliams on X
$J Beat earnings yesterday. Holding back detailed guidance for Investor Day (2/18)—likely raise ’25 #s, 4-year financial targets w significant upside on margins ($ACM and other peers +15% EBITDA margins). Record backlog and multi-year growth runway.
catechwilliams on X
$NX Rapidly declining levered (4x) commodity biz. Q1’25 guide -12% sales, mgmt hoping for 2H’25 recovery. End-mkts deteriorating ($OC -20% Q4 guide, $JELD), customer losses, internal controls issues, integrating a large acq, 0 prior M&A experience. +30x P/E on best case 2025 #s
catechwilliams on X
$CVGW Mexico tariffs likely a negotiating tactic but if enacted would be catastrophic for $CVGW which sources >90% of its avocados from MX. A 25% premium would render MX avocados uncompetitive, drive sourcing of the commodity to South American producers. $CVGW has 0 SA presence.
catechwilliams on X
$CVGW. Another red flag. CFO departing after just 2 years w CEO's old buddy as replacement. Massively over-earnings w volumes continuing to decline from lost customers and margins reverting lower.
catechwilliams on X
@StockJabber Thank you. As a read on $PLUS Q3 is tracking in October, $CSCO just reported -23% sales in networking (products account for ~50% of $PLUS revenue) for the Oct quarter-end. Further confirmation that PLUS Q3 is going to be ugly and no turnaround in sight.
catechwilliams on X
$PLUS Accelerating, sales -14% y/y in Q2, noted Q3 not improving yet implied FY guide is for flat sales (downward revisions to come). Margins benefitted from 1-time financing segment gain-on-sale. Still trading at a premium to higher quality industry leader CDW, makes zero sense.
catechwilliams on X
$AS 50x P/E levered retail roll-up w only one decent asset (Arc’teryx). Stagnating in the US, nearly fully-penetrated in China. >$500 jackets didn’t work for $GOOS in Asia. Arc already bigger. Hyper promotional mgmt sent the stock skyward. This is going to be an epic crash.
catechwilliams on X
$CVGW In MRQ benefited from temp avocado price spike and 1-time F/X add-back. Volumes have been declining LDD for the last 3Qs ($CMG shifting suppliers). DOJ investigation continues. Prices & earnings reverting lower. Commodity distributor trading at 30x P/E is not sustainable.
Investor Letters
All letters- Palm Harbour Capital July 2026 064850 $136M
- Protean Funds July 2026 DVYSR $105M
- Alluvial Capital Management Second Quarter 2026 ZEG $5B
- Hayden Capital Q2 2026 AMZN $2.8T
- Royce Investment Partners Year-to-Date Through 6/30/26 AAP $2.6B
- Intrepid Capital 2Q26 GOOGL $4.2T
- Polaris Capital Management Second Quarter 2026 ENI $80B
- First Eagle Investments second quarter 2026 032830 $45B
Veeva 2Q’26: “SaaSpocalypse” Cancelled
Veeva beat its $905 million revenue guide with $928 million, up 17.6%, while subscription growth accelerated and GAAP EBIT margin reached…
Microsoft ($MSFT) - Deep Dive
Microsoft’s AI data-center buildout lifted annual CapEx from $5.5 billion in FY2014 to $115.9 billion in FY2026, resetting free-cash-flow…
Meta Buys Away its Distraction at Minimal Cost
Meta’s $18 billion teen-addiction settlement makes $5.3 billion contingent on YouTube and TikTok adopting matching restrictions, while…
Making sense of Sandisk’s long-term financial model
Sandisk’s FY28-FY30 model relies on long-term NAND agreements holding near-80% gross-margin floors despite pricing 26-28% below current…
Late August 2026 Random Ramblings
Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven…
The Verra Sneerer (NASDAQ:VRRM)
Verra Mobility renewed Hertz tolling management for five years. AutoKinex lets rental customers buy tolling, fuel and protection products…
Nvidia Climbing the Wall of Worries
Nvidia guided FY2028 revenue toward $700 billion, roughly 70% growth, while supply constraints and neocloud demand face concerns over…
Domo (Arigato), for this potential multi-bagger options trade
Domo’s $400 million sale to Progress would leave a cash-rich public shell with $900 million of NOLs; January 2028 $5 calls cost 22 cents.
[scuttleslops] AI Data Center Economics, ADI, INTU, IDXX
AWS AI campuses cost $40–$45 billion per gigawatt, with Trainium 3 expected to lift compute per megawatt and improve infrastructure returns.
$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners
El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…
Dorchester Minerals: Still Attractive - Despite Oil Price Headwinds
Eldorado Gold CORP
Eldorado Gold (EGO) is a long-life gold and copper miner with a rare growth profile across precious and base metals.
Core Natural Resources INC
Core Natural Resources is a US metallurgical and thermal coal producer formed in January 2025 through the merger of CONSOL Energy and Arch…
Ncino INC
NCino is a commercial-lending system of record for banks and credit unions, trading at roughly 3x enterprise value to sales.
SBA Communications Corporation: Fast-Growing Dividend, Undervalued
Bloom Energy: 5 Links That Cannot Break
Richtech Robotics: An Easy Pass Based On Lackluster RaaS Growth Quality
Cnh Industrial NV
CNH Industrial, the No. 2 global agricultural-equipment OEM, is pitched long at about $10 per share.
Agnico Eagle Mines LTD
Graphic Packaging Holding CO
Graphic Packaging (GPK) is pitched as a long with $22 fair value, implying roughly 100% upside, based on its low-cost paper-based packaging…
Stories are added via a curated list of writers we follow. Have a source we're missing?
Send your pickPublications we follow
Every publication on this site, hand-picked.
- Wolf's Substack
- Seeking Alpha
- MBI Deep Dives
- Bearhold Research
- Bristlemoon Capital
- The Oak Bloke
- Yet Another Value Blog
- Yet Another Value Podcast
- Triple S Special Situations Investing
- scuttleblurb
- The Monetary Matters Network
- Steve Eisman
- 310 Value’s Newsletter
- The Value Road
- Capital Employed
- Speedwell Memos
- The Mikro Kap
- Treasure Hunting
- Clark Street Value
- Cluseau Research
- Value Investors Club
- John Hempton's Newsletter
- Undervalued Shares
- smallvalue.
- Maius Partners
- Multibagger Monitor
- Altay Capital - Mostly Value Investing
- Nat Stewart - Stock Picking Newsletter
- Citrini Research
- Hunterbrook
- Odds on Open
- Sunday's Idea Brunch
X accounts we follow
Every account on this site, hand-picked.
- marginofdanger
- David Orr
- Chris Camillo
- Ian Bezek
- Lee Roach
- Maj Soueidan
- Prepared Remarks
- Raging Capital Ventures
- Clark Square Capital
- Timyan Bank Alert
- SG
- PAA Research
- BDC
- ⚽️📡
- JabroniCoin.USD
- Farmer
- Broken Moats
- mavix
- Charles Frischer
- Connor Haley
- AltayCap
- Nat Stewart
- Mike
- junkbondinvestor
- Little Owl Research
- Tim Eriksen
- ToffCap
- Fierce_beast
- Psyop Capital
- Laughing Water Capital
- catechwilliams
- Porter Collins
- Rusholme Capital
- Sahil Khetpal
Topics
Ordered by how often our editor reaches for them.
