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marginofdanger on X
@leevalueroach $BWEL
David Orr on X
It's these types of ads that $GOOG Google won't be able to get away with long term anymore. This always degraded the user experience. Which was fine when they were a monopoly. But they are not a monopoly anymore. How much will this hurt their revenue? https://t.co/i07ww09r4x
Chris Camillo on X
@ryanTesling @elliotrades worry isn’t something i do often. a rate hike is a known risk investors won’t like short term, but it changes nothing about my larger $AMZN thesis.
Ian Bezek on X
@davey_juice @ThainRos $EWZ might go lower. I don't have a strong opinion on where big components like Vale and Petrobras go, could be down more. I think $INTR and $NU will keep growing fast enough to offset macro jitters.
Chris Camillo on X
@elliotrades $AMZN
Ian Bezek on X
Nubank and Inter face Brazilian election risk as Lula is expected to win despite stronger polling for Flavio.
Lee Roach on X
Rayonier, $RYN, carries a $7.4 billion enterprise value and four million acres, implying $1,817 per acre plus a dividend.
Chris Camillo on X
@Freedom2Fart not a swing trader. and not that it matters, but the $AMZN trade in question was a one day options trade into expiration. fully exited.
Investor Letters
All letters- Palm Harbour Capital July 2026 064850 $136M
- Protean Funds July 2026 DVYSR $105M
- Alluvial Capital Management Second Quarter 2026 ZEG $5B
- Hayden Capital Q2 2026 AMZN $2.8T
- Royce Investment Partners Year-to-Date Through 6/30/26 AAP $2.6B
- Intrepid Capital 2Q26 GOOGL $4.2T
- Polaris Capital Management Second Quarter 2026 ENI $80B
- First Eagle Investments second quarter 2026 032830 $45B
Veeva 2Q’26: “SaaSpocalypse” Cancelled
Veeva beat its $905 million revenue guide with $928 million, up 17.6%, while subscription growth accelerated and GAAP EBIT margin reached…
Microsoft ($MSFT) - Deep Dive
Microsoft’s AI data-center buildout lifted annual CapEx from $5.5 billion in FY2014 to $115.9 billion in FY2026, resetting free-cash-flow…
Meta Buys Away its Distraction at Minimal Cost
Meta’s $18 billion teen-addiction settlement makes $5.3 billion contingent on YouTube and TikTok adopting matching restrictions, while…
Making sense of Sandisk’s long-term financial model
Sandisk’s FY28-FY30 model relies on long-term NAND agreements holding near-80% gross-margin floors despite pricing 26-28% below current…
Late August 2026 Random Ramblings
Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven…
The Verra Sneerer (NASDAQ:VRRM)
Verra Mobility renewed Hertz tolling management for five years. AutoKinex lets rental customers buy tolling, fuel and protection products…
Nvidia Climbing the Wall of Worries
Nvidia guided FY2028 revenue toward $700 billion, roughly 70% growth, while supply constraints and neocloud demand face concerns over…
Domo (Arigato), for this potential multi-bagger options trade
Domo’s $400 million sale to Progress would leave a cash-rich public shell with $900 million of NOLs; January 2028 $5 calls cost 22 cents.
[scuttleslops] AI Data Center Economics, ADI, INTU, IDXX
AWS AI campuses cost $40–$45 billion per gigawatt, with Trainium 3 expected to lift compute per megawatt and improve infrastructure returns.
$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners
El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…
Dun & Bradstreet: Strategic Process Wrapping Up, Cheap Valuation
Dun & Bradstreet’s strategic process is wrapping up as the company trades at a cheap valuation.
Third Harmonic Bio: Strategic Alternatives, Keeping Options Open on THB335
Third Harmonic Bio is pursuing strategic alternatives while preserving options for its THB335 program.
Hidden in Plane Sight
An aerospace company’s profitable core is obscured by a long-running FAA development program; approval, abandonment, or shrinking losses…
ROAS to Riches
Entravision’s Smadex AdTech segment grew Q1 2026 revenue 204% and generated over $34 million of EBIT, becoming 78% of sales and the core…
Programmatic DSPs
Entravision’s Smadex AdTech unit generated 104% revenue growth and 378% EBIT growth, becoming the main upside driver after Meta ended its…
$PRKS: SeaWorld, an 8% cash yield, and a possible 80% short squeeze | Hawkins Entrekin
United Parks trades around 8x EBITDA with an 8% unlevered cash yield, aggressive buybacks and roughly 80% effective short interest, despite…
Would I have been the patsy at $QVCPQ? $QVCAQ
QVC’s confirmed bankruptcy plan lets operating-company creditors take holdco assets and wipes out preferreds that traded above $5 before…
$CBZ: stop the buybacks and restart the M&A flywheel? | Reference Equity
CBIZ's proposed shift from buybacks to equity-funded bolt-on M&A targets renewed revenue compounding after the $2.3 billion Marcum deal and…
Corporate dark arts: the strangest 8-K I've ever seen $DMRC
DMRC’s incoming CEO can earn more than $40 million if shares rise roughly fivefold, despite an 8-K warning of substantial doubt about the…
Is insider buying a signal if the insiders are always wrong? $LILAK
LILAK’s canceled GCI Liberty deal, preferred-stock distribution, and $1.7 million of insider buying revive governance concerns around John…
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