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Lee Roach on X
Rayonier, $RYN, carries a $7.4 billion enterprise value and four million acres, implying $1,817 per acre plus a dividend.
Chris Camillo on X
@Freedom2Fart not a swing trader. and not that it matters, but the $AMZN trade in question was a one day options trade into expiration. fully exited.
marginofdanger on X
Horizon Technology Finance, $LIEN, trades at $10.20 versus $13.26 NAV and yields 13.3% as its all-stock REFI deal nearly doubles assets to about $800 million.
marginofdanger on X
Sachem Capital trades at $10.20 versus $13.26 NAV and yields 13.3%; its all-stock REFI deal will double assets above $600 million, concentrated in cannabis credit.
Ian Bezek on X
@WaterworldCapi1 Copying industry best practices from $OKLO https://t.co/VnEtGXDOn0
Maj Soueidan on X
OCC’s backlog implies $0.25 EPS using historical conversion multiples, while RFIL has a stronger plan to reduce cyclicality. Both benefit from recovering telecom demand and growing data-center exposure.
Prepared Remarks on X
$meta https://t.co/1JqV0PLtqm
Maj Soueidan on X
Optical Cable and RF Industries are both estimated to report Q3 earnings on the same day, raising concern over two telecom-equipment companies with shaky histories.
Investor Letters
All letters- Palm Harbour Capital July 2026 064850 $136M
- Protean Funds July 2026 DVYSR $105M
- Alluvial Capital Management Second Quarter 2026 ZEG $5B
- Hayden Capital Q2 2026 AMZN $2.8T
- Royce Investment Partners Year-to-Date Through 6/30/26 AAP $2.6B
- Intrepid Capital 2Q26 GOOGL $4.2T
- Polaris Capital Management Second Quarter 2026 ENI $80B
- First Eagle Investments second quarter 2026 032830 $45B
Veeva 2Q’26: “SaaSpocalypse” Cancelled
Veeva beat its $905 million revenue guide with $928 million, up 17.6%, while subscription growth accelerated and GAAP EBIT margin reached…
Microsoft ($MSFT) - Deep Dive
Microsoft’s AI data-center buildout lifted annual CapEx from $5.5 billion in FY2014 to $115.9 billion in FY2026, resetting free-cash-flow…
Meta Buys Away its Distraction at Minimal Cost
Meta’s $18 billion teen-addiction settlement makes $5.3 billion contingent on YouTube and TikTok adopting matching restrictions, while…
Making sense of Sandisk’s long-term financial model
Sandisk’s FY28-FY30 model relies on long-term NAND agreements holding near-80% gross-margin floors despite pricing 26-28% below current…
Late August 2026 Random Ramblings
Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven…
The Verra Sneerer (NASDAQ:VRRM)
Verra Mobility renewed Hertz tolling management for five years. AutoKinex lets rental customers buy tolling, fuel and protection products…
Nvidia Climbing the Wall of Worries
Nvidia guided FY2028 revenue toward $700 billion, roughly 70% growth, while supply constraints and neocloud demand face concerns over…
Domo (Arigato), for this potential multi-bagger options trade
Domo’s $400 million sale to Progress would leave a cash-rich public shell with $900 million of NOLs; January 2028 $5 calls cost 22 cents.
[scuttleslops] AI Data Center Economics, ADI, INTU, IDXX
AWS AI campuses cost $40–$45 billion per gigawatt, with Trainium 3 expected to lift compute per megawatt and improve infrastructure returns.
$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners
El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…
NFE Bond Update
New Fortress Energy’s restructuring cancels its 12% 2029 notes for 94.3% of BrazilCo, $974 million of New NFE preferred and 25.8% of New…
Floor & Decor 2Q'26: Tentative Green Shoots
Floor & Decor held 2026 guidance after a 2Q beat, with comps improving through June; tariff refunds lifted margins and may fund pricing…
Stryker CORP
Stryker (SYK) trades near a 52-week low after a late-Q1 cyberattack disrupted revenue and earnings, framing a long-term compounder…
Cue Biopharma
Cue Biopharma faces a deteriorating balance sheet, recurring operating losses, ATM dilution and PIPE-investor selling pressure.
Maha Capital
Maha Capital combines two assets valued at least 2x its pro forma market capitalization, with a catalyst intended to close the discount.
Silgan
Silgan’s long thesis rests on roughly 10% historical EPS growth and a potential rerating as its end-market exposure evolves.
Perpetua Resources CORP
Perpetua Resources (PPTA) is a development-stage gold mining project.
Bath and Body Works
Bath & Body Works is the remaining Les Wexner retail business after The Limited’s former brands were separated or sold.
Hallador Pt. 2 — "Massive" Data Center Incoming in Sullivan, IN? ($HNRG)
Hallador’s 1 GW Merom plant could supply a proposed 1,000-acre Sullivan County data center, with local filings and Stantec references tying…
Product-Market Fit in 5G ORAN Radios... Equity Market Rerate to Come? ($AMPG)
Amplitech's bull case rests on $118 million in 5G Open RAN LOIs, 125% projected revenue growth and a 1x EV/sales valuation.
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