Making sense of Sandisk’s long-term financial model
Sandisk’s FY28-FY30 model relies on long-term NAND agreements holding near-80% gross-margin floors despite pricing 26-28% below current ASPs.
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From X
Laughing Water Capital on X
Interesting framing for $NN. $95 is pretty far above my upside case, but agree the $T / FirstNet arrangement is interesting context, despite some obvious differences. https://t.co/b3FsHVkivk
Laughing Water Capital on X
Verizon, T-Mobile and other carriers could move quickly for NextNav’s 900 MHz spectrum, following AT&T’s rapid purchase of 600 MHz licenses.
Laughing Water Capital on X
$NN argues coexistence avoids relocating most Part 15 users because 11 MHz is unwanted and much equipment will reach end of life before deployment.
Laughing Water Capital on X
NextNav says its San Francisco M-LMS network has operated for over a decade without Part 15 interference and that its 5G plan would lower emissions.
Laughing Water Capital on X
@yummyCenturyEgg to be specific as I already said, tolls already primarily operate in the 11 mhz $NN doesn't want. NN will pay "tens of millions" for a software retune to move the toll readers not already in the 11 mhz to the 11 mhz.
Laughing Water Capital on X
@yummyCenturyEgg the "studies" that the opposition have submitted are full of false assumptions and bad data, as demonstrated by $NN. Why would objectors willingly submit bad studies? logical explanation is b/c proper studies show no interference.
Laughing Water Capital on X
@yummyCenturyEgg @MGardnerDA1235 @dylan55917 8/x) add this to the list of common sense and technical arguments that demonstrate how the 900 band is not messy. Assume the $NN bears will ignore this, as they ignored the above points. https://t.co/wqpbmn33X7
Laughing Water Capital on X
NN’s low-band spectrum could gain value as Apple pursues satellite-to-phone service and seeks greater control over its satellite network.
Investor Letters
All letters- Hayden Capital 3rd Quarter 215A $1.1B
- Hayden Capital 4th Quarter EDU $9.1B
- Sequoia Fund 2025 GOOGL $4.2T
- Palm Harbour Capital fourth quarter LNA $428M
- Palm Harbour Capital first quarter of 2023 TKMAF $7.7B
- Royce Investment Partners Year-to-Date Through 6/30/26 AAP $2.6B
- Patient Capital Management 2Q25 BABA $289B
- Patient Capital Management 3Q25 PGEN $2.6B
AMPX 2026-08-28 Amprius: A Better Entry Point After A 50%+ Decline (Rating Upgrade)
Kurt Christensen 
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[scuttleslops] AI Data Center Economics, ADI, INTU, IDXX
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