Making sense of Sandisk’s long-term financial model
Sandisk’s FY28-FY30 model relies on long-term NAND agreements holding near-80% gross-margin floors despite pricing 26-28% below current ASPs.
Latest
From X
Laughing Water Capital on X
NextNav calls for interference testing in the 902-928 MHz band and questions RFID’s use of the spectrum. An NPRM could require real-world tests.
Laughing Water Capital on X
$NN https://t.co/rn1GCqqeWI
Laughing Water Capital on X
AST SpaceMobile faces questions over SpaceX and Amazon’s distribution, capital advantages and pricing in a three-player satellite communications market.
Laughing Water Capital on X
$AVNS https://t.co/EbJi0nn0Vj
Laughing Water Capital on X
@cfrischer1 validation of what $NN CFO Tim Gray said at Seaport a few weeks back: https://t.co/OT4MFWbPxQ
Laughing Water Capital on X
$NN https://t.co/q3EOINP0pt
Laughing Water Capital on X
NextNav’s appointment of CTIA CEO Ajit Pai to its board is presented as a signal of confidence in its FCC regulatory outlook.
Laughing Water Capital on X
Sounds like terrestrial GPS is being prioritized $NN https://t.co/EZoHuCydcB
Investor Letters
All letters- Hayden Capital 3rd Quarter 215A $1.1B
- Hayden Capital 4th Quarter EDU $9.1B
- Sequoia Fund 2025 GOOGL $4.2T
- Palm Harbour Capital fourth quarter LNA $428M
- Palm Harbour Capital first quarter of 2023 TKMAF $7.7B
- Royce Investment Partners Year-to-Date Through 6/30/26 AAP $2.6B
- Patient Capital Management 2Q25 BABA $289B
- Patient Capital Management 3Q25 PGEN $2.6B
AMPX 2026-08-28 Amprius: A Better Entry Point After A 50%+ Decline (Rating Upgrade)
Kurt Christensen 
Late August 2026 Random Ramblings
Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven…
The Verra Sneerer (NASDAQ:VRRM)
Verra Mobility renewed Hertz tolling management for five years. AutoKinex lets rental customers buy tolling, fuel and protection products…
Nvidia Climbing the Wall of Worries
Nvidia guided FY2028 revenue toward $700 billion, roughly 70% growth, while supply constraints and neocloud demand face concerns over…
Domo (Arigato), for this potential multi-bagger options trade
Domo’s $400 million sale to Progress would leave a cash-rich public shell with $900 million of NOLs; January 2028 $5 calls cost 22 cents.
Nvidia’s Long-Term Margin Question
Nvidia faces questions over the durability of its long-term profit margins ahead of earnings.
[scuttleslops] AI Data Center Economics, ADI, INTU, IDXX
AWS AI campuses cost $40–$45 billion per gigawatt, with Trainium 3 expected to lift compute per megawatt and improve infrastructure returns.
Big Tech Off-Balance Sheet Concerns
Big Tech’s $3 trillion AI commitments are disclosed and largely long-dated, with nearly 60% of Amazon’s $650 billion commitments falling…
$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners
El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…
CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage
CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…
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