Late August 2026 Random Ramblings
Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven capital allocation.
Today
From X
BDC on X
@FrostByte123456 Yes. $GOOGL needs to feed TWO capex intensive businesses: 1. Search (Gemeni) and 2. Cloud. $AMZN needs to only feed one, which is AWS.
BDC on X
$SNAP will generate more FCF this year than $GOOGL and maybe more than the hyperscalers combined in the 2H ex MSFT! Just sayin...
BDC on X
Good point here re how OBBB flatters cash flow. $GOOGL https://t.co/MkSPZ5NNOZ
BDC on X
@kermankohli GCP is baked into $GOOGL's price already. $META's cloud optionality is obviously not. You may prefer the known thing but its the unknown things that over much more asymmetry.
BDC on X
$mRna shots don't work either but it has a $25B market cap. https://t.co/vvreFW1UpQ
BDC on X
Alphabet faces a two-front AI capex burden, funding internal search competition and external cloud capacity without Meta’s excess-compute pivot.
BDC on X
@benbstwits Warren Buffett is 96 years old. He had every opportunity to buy $GOOGL over the last 20 years and didn't. The fact that he is showing up now is not the flex you think.
BDC on X
So is $GOOGL going to tap their ATM now? Or wait for it to go lower?
Investor Letters
All letters- Sequoia Fund year ended December 31, 2025 +22.1%
- Palm Harbour Capital 2022 Q4
- Palm Harbour Capital first quarter of 2023
- Royce Investment Partners Year-to-Date Through 6/30/26 +13.7%
- Maran Capital Management 2Q 2026 +5.4%
- Patient Capital Management 2Q25 +15.3%
- Patient Capital Management 3Q25 +14.1%
- Intrepid Capital 2Q 2026 +6.6%
BHVN 2026-08-27 Biohaven: Sale Of Opakalim Rights To SK Biopharmaceuticals Makes Sense On Many Levels
Edmund Ingham ACIW 2026-08-27 ACI Worldwide: An Undercovered Payments Compounder Getting Better
SiliconBytes Insights 
Domo (Arigato), for this potential multi-bagger options trade
Domo’s $400 million sale to Progress would leave a cash-rich public shell with $900 million of NOLs; January 2028 $5 calls cost 22 cents.
MT 2026-08-27 ArcelorMittal: Regionalization Is Creating A Structurally Better Steel Company
Capital Connoisseur 
Nvidia’s Long-Term Margin Question
Nvidia faces questions over the durability of its long-term profit margins ahead of earnings.
[scuttleslops] AI Data Center Economics, ADI, INTU, IDXX
AWS AI campuses cost $40–$45 billion per gigawatt, with Trainium 3 expected to lift compute per megawatt and improve infrastructure returns.
Big Tech Off-Balance Sheet Concerns
Big Tech’s $3 trillion AI commitments are disclosed and largely long-dated, with nearly 60% of Amazon’s $650 billion commitments falling…
$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners
El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…
CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage
CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…
Aloe Aloe Aloe what 'ave VERRA then?
Verra Mobility's new seven-year Avis agreement replaces a customer worth over 10% of revenue on materially worse economics, exposing…
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