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catechwilliams on X
AI data-center vacancy rates are 2-3% as tenants scramble for compute capacity; a customer loss raises doubts that WYFI can replace it after NC-1 performance issues.
catechwilliams on X
The $WYFI data center which was formerly a food distribution center. https://t.co/t2cpUNZXqp
catechwilliams on X
$WYFI Retrofitted a food distro warehouse into a NC-1 DC. Lost anchor tenant ($20M rev), promising a new large customer since 10/27. CEO claiming “very very soon” for last 20 days. Increasingly evident will not happen. Sell-side & stock prices assume huge rev ramp. Burning cash.
catechwilliams on X
$PTRN Recent IPO. $AMZN Mktplace wholesaler. Buys products up front, capital intensive, bears price, inventory risk. Exposed to FBA cost & AMZN algo changes. Claims AI optimization which AMZN explicitly blocks. Razor thin margins, neg op leverage. All peers went BK in last 3yrs.
catechwilliams on X
$RDDT I don't make bold predictions. I'm a conservative doctor but it will likely be the next $META or $GOOG. Look at those companies 8-10 years ago. Very similar fact pattern. Now $RDDT is dominating search w highly valuable AI. +78% rev on tough comp and just getting started.
catechwilliams on X
$CRCT Covid fad DIY crafting printers—accelerating unit sales decline, cutting prices. High margin subscription rev (online templates library free elsewhere) now churning off. Set for Q2 miss/ guide down on 8/5. 18-20x P/E. Massive CEO selling. https://t.co/V86UTJv2Np
catechwilliams on X
Ingram Micro’s ransomware attack halted order fulfillment for four days, risking customer defections, ransom costs and a major IT upgrade.
catechwilliams on X
Sponsor Bain (50% shareholder) will likely be looking to unload shares as we approach the lock-up expiration date later this summer. $KMTS could be a zero.
Investor Letters
All letters- Royce Investment Partners Year-to-Date Through 6/30/26 +13.7%
- Maran Capital Management 2Q 2026 +5.4%
- Palm Harbour Capital second quarter of 2023
- Patient Capital Management 2Q25 +15.3%
- Patient Capital Management 3Q25 +14.1%
- Palm Harbour Capital third quarter
- Intrepid Capital 2Q 2026 +6.6%
- First Eagle Investments 3Q 2025 +9.2%
Kinder Morgan: The Consolidation Is An Opportunity Before The Next Leg Higher
Sizing Up Cerebras Systems: Why Its Latency Moat Makes It A Buy For Aggressive Growth Investors
Big Tech Off-Balance Sheet Concerns
Big Tech’s $3 trillion AI commitments are disclosed and largely long-dated, with nearly 60% of Amazon’s $650 billion commitments falling…
Stripe’s “Singularity” and the Divergence from Adyen
Stripe’s net revenue rose 41% in 1H 2026 versus Adyen’s 21% FX-adjusted growth, fueled by AI-native startups and acquisitions including…
$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners
El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…
CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage
CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…
Aloe Aloe Aloe what 'ave VERRA then?
Verra Mobility's new seven-year Avis agreement replaces a customer worth over 10% of revenue on materially worse economics, exposing…
NCLH or her grandma Saga?
Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…
Jumia
Jumia’s January 2028 $7/$15 call spread risks $1.15 for up to $6.85 if cost cuts and marketplace growth deliver adjusted EBITDA and…
Shitcos, Griftcos, and alignment versus enrichment at $IREN
IREN awarded each co-CEO roughly 9 million RSUs, about 2.5% of shares and $400 million, in exchange for no further equity grants until…
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