Big Tech Off-Balance Sheet Concerns
Big Tech’s $3 trillion AI commitments are disclosed and largely long-dated, with nearly 60% of Amazon’s $650 billion commitments falling after 2030.
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20h ago STNE $2.3B StoneCo: Deep Value Hiding Behind Brazil's Rate Fears - For Now
IWA Research 21h ago SBLK $3.4B Star Bulk Carriers: You Don't Need The Record Quarter
Kevin Avroutskii From X
Broken Moats on X
DaVita trades near $230 at almost 27 times next year’s earnings despite a 1.1% CMS rate increase and GLP-1-driven volume headwinds.
Broken Moats on X
CFO change and rapid insider selling at $CACC ....could not begin to understand why the stock is up 20% in the past two weeks and nearly 50% ytd. Tougher float dynamics then you would want to see for a short but sure is tempting up here
Broken Moats on X
crazy moves both directions over the past month away from AI... $GOLF +30% has got my attention. 30x next years numbers for a low single digit retailer seems odd.
Broken Moats on X
@jonathanmaze Thanks for the insight! I don't live near a Caseys so could not conduct my own taste test but was overlaying wingstop locations on top of Caseys yesterday thinking this could be a growing problem for $WING especially undercut on $
Broken Moats on X
Travel, housing, biotech and waste stocks rallied while Amazon lagged after weak Prime sales, leaving Target, KB Home and Expedia moves hard to explain.
Broken Moats on X
MetLife, Lincoln and regional banks including Western Alliance face interconnected private-credit exposure, with scrutiny of loan credit ratings.
Broken Moats on X
Wabash's $WNC rally reflects hopes for a replacement trailer market in 2027 and tariffs on Chinese suppliers, despite cyclical balance-sheet risk.
Broken Moats on X
Little perplexed you get more negative redemption stories around private credit, and the market only sells off the the the pure play PE companies. First derivatives are up? $MFC $FG $MET $WAL all have sizable exposure to the same asset class.....
Investor Letters
All letters- Royce Investment Partners Year-to-Date Through 6/30/26 +13.7%
- Maran Capital Management 2Q 2026 +5.4%
- Palm Harbour Capital second quarter of 2023
- Patient Capital Management 2Q25 +15.3%
- Patient Capital Management 3Q25 +14.1%
- Palm Harbour Capital third quarter
- Intrepid Capital 2Q 2026 +6.6%
- First Eagle Investments 3Q 2025 +9.2%
WLDN 2026-08-25 Willdan Group: The Q2 Beat-And-Raise Confirms The Inflection
Miletus Research 
Stripe’s “Singularity” and the Divergence from Adyen
Stripe’s net revenue rose 41% in 1H 2026 versus Adyen’s 21% FX-adjusted growth, fueled by AI-native startups and acquisitions including…
Core Memory
Airbnb Experiences faces a supply bottleneck from manual approvals, while a farm host raised her price from $15 to $25 after stronger…
$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners
El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…
CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage
CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…
Aloe Aloe Aloe what 'ave VERRA then?
Verra Mobility's new seven-year Avis agreement replaces a customer worth over 10% of revenue on materially worse economics, exposing…
NCLH or her grandma Saga?
Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…
Jumia
Jumia’s January 2028 $7/$15 call spread risks $1.15 for up to $6.85 if cost cuts and marketplace growth deliver adjusted EBITDA and…
Shitcos, Griftcos, and alignment versus enrichment at $IREN
IREN awarded each co-CEO roughly 9 million RSUs, about 2.5% of shares and $400 million, in exchange for no further equity grants until…
$NU: is Nubank Capital One in 1994 or Capital One in 2006? | Vanshap Capital
Nubank's 140 million customers, 20% efficiency ratio and 30% ROE frame whether its high-teens P/E reflects a scalable fintech or a maturing…
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The $1.5 Trillion of Hidden Debt Fueling the AI Boom | Robin Wigglesworth of FT Alphaville
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Will Hubspot go the way of the Dodo?
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