Late August 2026 Random Ramblings
Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven capital allocation.
Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven capital allocation.
The basin isn’t that deep. Bullish $EQT. Low investment + LNG + datacenter demand = convexity https://t.co/USzDD8u9uB
$ACMR https://t.co/7I0HGYPlfP
Software, semiconductors and financials look expensive, while CDW returned to revenue growth. High-ticket consumer goods and transport are weak, but travel and Canadian housing show strength.
@Anointed_Ape Inconsequential. $AMZN no small cap
Would’ve been a $20B+ positive swing if they’d just followed me into $AMZN at 1x leverage. And they call us Dumb Money. https://t.co/WZVVizF9zL
@pradeeepk $AMD + ASICs will eat $NVDA margins
Any fundamental views on $RH here? I’ve been recently trying on the short as a trade into the $180 level with some success, feels like it has squeezed higher due to de-grossing/de-leveraging. Other building names are very weak with 10-year testing 5%.
Bill.com was sold after a 50%+ rebound, while HubSpot and Workday positions are actively traded with calls and short puts. Small shorts target Adobe, ServiceNow, Atlassian, Sprinklr and Yext.
Domo’s $400 million sale to Progress would leave a cash-rich public shell with $900 million of NOLs; January 2028 $5 calls cost 22 cents.
Nvidia faces questions over the durability of its long-term profit margins ahead of earnings.
AWS AI campuses cost $40–$45 billion per gigawatt, with Trainium 3 expected to lift compute per megawatt and improve infrastructure returns.
Big Tech’s $3 trillion AI commitments are disclosed and largely long-dated, with nearly 60% of Amazon’s $650 billion commitments falling…
El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…
CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…
Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…
IREN awarded each co-CEO roughly 9 million RSUs, about 2.5% of shares and $400 million, in exchange for no further equity grants until…
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