Late August 2026 Random Ramblings
Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven capital allocation.
Today
From X
JabroniCoin.USD on X
Timna Tanners: We see limited impact from the aluminum tariff tweak $CENX https://t.co/B4tCNvsy5Z
JabroniCoin.USD on X
Hmmm so what happens to China WFE and local semicap? $ACMR https://t.co/zCLlueeF3O
JabroniCoin.USD on X
“Huawei’s report on its progress gave Ding leeway to be more aggressive. He delivered a blunt warning to China’s largest AI users, according to people familiar with the message: Anyone who resisted employing domestic chips was a traitor.” $ACMR https://t.co/2DDOgMTQEW
JabroniCoin.USD on X
$THC smoked the hospital narrative and HCA, with a beat, raise and $2 Bn additional buyback. Bears might not be ambulatory for long… https://t.co/Jqp3snqr1l
JabroniCoin.USD on X
As usual with Hemingway, the last three sentences here are key $ACMR https://t.co/GhNV2Ci8IM
JabroniCoin.USD on X
$ORLA might have miner issues? https://t.co/fyc91D3J81
JabroniCoin.USD on X
Umm is SpaceX the high-margin customer of $SMCI that’s boosting their order book > $60 Bn? Short interest seems high https://t.co/BMrEvmCbQj
JabroniCoin.USD on X
The basin isn’t that deep. Bullish $EQT. Low investment + LNG + datacenter demand = convexity https://t.co/USzDD8u9uB
Investor Letters
All letters- Sequoia Fund year ended December 31, 2025 +22.1%
- Palm Harbour Capital 2022 Q4
- Palm Harbour Capital first quarter of 2023
- Royce Investment Partners Year-to-Date Through 6/30/26 +13.7%
- Patient Capital Management 2Q25 +15.3%
- Patient Capital Management 3Q25 +14.1%
- Intrepid Capital 2Q 2026 +6.6%
- First Eagle Investments 3Q 2025 +9.2%
ACIW 2026-08-27 ACI Worldwide: An Undercovered Payments Compounder Getting Better
SiliconBytes Insights 
Domo (Arigato), for this potential multi-bagger options trade
Domo’s $400 million sale to Progress would leave a cash-rich public shell with $900 million of NOLs; January 2028 $5 calls cost 22 cents.
MT 2026-08-27 ArcelorMittal: Regionalization Is Creating A Structurally Better Steel Company
Capital Connoisseur 
Nvidia’s Long-Term Margin Question
Nvidia faces questions over the durability of its long-term profit margins ahead of earnings.
[scuttleslops] AI Data Center Economics, ADI, INTU, IDXX
AWS AI campuses cost $40–$45 billion per gigawatt, with Trainium 3 expected to lift compute per megawatt and improve infrastructure returns.
Big Tech Off-Balance Sheet Concerns
Big Tech’s $3 trillion AI commitments are disclosed and largely long-dated, with nearly 60% of Amazon’s $650 billion commitments falling…
$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners
El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…
CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage
CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…
NCLH or her grandma Saga?
Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…
Shitcos, Griftcos, and alignment versus enrichment at $IREN
IREN awarded each co-CEO roughly 9 million RSUs, about 2.5% of shares and $400 million, in exchange for no further equity grants until…
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