Big Tech Off-Balance Sheet Concerns
Big Tech’s $3 trillion AI commitments are disclosed and largely long-dated, with nearly 60% of Amazon’s $650 billion commitments falling after 2030.
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15h ago STNE $2.3B StoneCo: Deep Value Hiding Behind Brazil's Rate Fears - For Now
IWA Research 16h ago SBLK $3.4B Star Bulk Carriers: You Don't Need The Record Quarter
Kevin Avroutskii From X
mavix on X
I just published an Earnings Update about the Shelly Group $SLYG Q1 2026 results. You can find it in the portfolio section of the blog :) https://t.co/PBu7hw3ZdE
mavix on X
Shelly Group reported Q1 2026 revenue growth of 25.9%, EBIT growth of 30.4%, and a 25.9% EBIT margin. Free cash flow rose 77.5% and DSO improved by 24 days.
mavix on X
April 2026 portfolio update lists holdings including Centrotec, Evolution, Secunet, Leatt, Toyokumo, Biorem, Circle, Lindbergh, Shelly Group and ErreDue.
Laughing Water Capital on X
Friendly reminder that $MRK is well positioned and well incentivized to purchase $LQDA. Yutrepia fits very well with Merck's respiratory portfolio. https://t.co/JAdLguTw7D
Laughing Water Capital on X
NN says joint testing has been needed for two years and alleges opposition has resisted it.
Laughing Water Capital on X
@cfrischer1 The use cases for satellite part 15 are extremely limited, & to suggest this is bad for $NN is silly. If there is interference or not is the only thing that matters whether on land or in space.
Laughing Water Capital on X
ANAB could sell its royalty stream if it loses, preserving future cash flows despite a stock decline. The board added RPRX’s former CFO four months earlier.
Laughing Water Capital on X
@darkstarsats @JoesAutopen @cfrischer1 @CalgaryLeveen @mil01425146 @SteveCrowley Probably for the same reason the opposition has submitted reports that need to break the laws of physics in order to suggest interference. $NN
Investor Letters
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TTMI 2026-08-25 TTM Technologies: Priced Like A Board Shop, Booked Like A Defense Prime
Jaden Mealy 
Stripe’s “Singularity” and the Divergence from Adyen
Stripe’s net revenue rose 41% in 1H 2026 versus Adyen’s 21% FX-adjusted growth, fueled by AI-native startups and acquisitions including…
Core Memory
Airbnb Experiences faces a supply bottleneck from manual approvals, while a farm host raised her price from $15 to $25 after stronger…
$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners
El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…
CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage
CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…
NCLH or her grandma Saga?
Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…
Shitcos, Griftcos, and alignment versus enrichment at $IREN
IREN awarded each co-CEO roughly 9 million RSUs, about 2.5% of shares and $400 million, in exchange for no further equity grants until…
$NU: is Nubank Capital One in 1994 or Capital One in 2006? | Vanshap Capital
Nubank's 140 million customers, 20% efficiency ratio and 30% ROE frame whether its high-teens P/E reflects a scalable fintech or a maturing…
The $1.5 Trillion of Hidden Debt Fueling the AI Boom | Robin Wigglesworth of FT Alphaville
Hyperscalers’ off-balance-sheet lease and purchase obligations rose from roughly $1 trillion to $1.5 trillion, turning the AI buildout into…
Will Hubspot go the way of the Dodo?
HubSpot trades near its 2020 share price despite quadrupled revenue and $750 million in free cash flow, with Breeze AI upside weighed…
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Older Stories
AI’s Achilles’ Heel: Why Everything Hinges on Anthropic & OpenAI | The Weekly Wrap
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$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management
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Bristlemoon Capital ZTS 2026-08-13[scuttleslops] ZTS, APO, FISV, TTD, RELY
scuttleblurb
The Impact of Autonomous Vehicles on Copart, A Timeline-Based Assessment - ($CPRT)
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