Topic
Everything our editor has picked under this tag, best first.
$QSG Announced the core business sold for only $2.5M. This was 100% of the company as recently as April. Now it's a fad toy company trading at 4-5x sales (FY2026 sales guide of $100M-$150M, +$500M mkt cap). Legacy VCs almost certainly going to unload now.
$QSG: Delayed filing. Mounting accounting issues. Failed ed biz buying a toy company (highly dilutive). US-based VC fund DCM owns 21% S/O. Will be hard to justify an investment in an ed company that devolved into a toy business to their LPs. Likely the next legacy holder to sell.
$QSG Failing Chinese online learning company made a “strategic pivot toward product-driven business” by acquiring a single product toy biz: 1) March acq 61% for $33M, 2) 3 weeks ago acq at 5x that prior valuation. Massively dilutive. Legacy VCs selling fast, report this week.
$CRCT Covid fad DIY crafting printers—accelerating unit sales decline, cutting prices. High margin subscription rev (online templates library free elsewhere) now churning off. Set for Q2 miss/ guide down on 8/5. 18-20x P/E. Massive CEO selling. https://t.co/V86UTJv2Np
$FTDR Vol declining (existing home sales=driver). Pricing lagging inflation, massively over-earning. Problematic given 25% churn w aggressive new entrants. Dubious company overall. Investor day yesterday was comical, compared themselves to $NFLX. Earnings misses coming.
$AS 50x P/E levered retail roll-up w only one decent asset (Arc’teryx). Stagnating in the US, nearly fully-penetrated in China. >$500 jackets didn’t work for $GOOS in Asia. Arc already bigger. Hyper promotional mgmt sent the stock skyward. This is going to be an epic crash.
$DAKT. Over the last 3 weeks have won several large upgrades—Colorado, UVa football stadiums. Each $15M projects to boost backlog and revenue >10% in the next quarter, further solidifying dominant market position. https://t.co/JFou9jCYxr
$DTC Market awakening to strat alts noted yesterday. “We are currently undergoing a full strategic review of every key facet of our company...have engaged a leading strategic firm.” Multiple assets to sell. New CEO from $VSTO. 7x EPS, high SI. Large upside on any favorable news.
$CART Moved forward its lock-up expiration date to 2/16 (Thursday) from the original 3/19. >65% of the shares will be eligible for sale. COO leaving, just announced a restructuring w ambitious guidance. Almost certainly did so to support the stock in advance of a secondary.
Delta expanded its free Digital ID program into Clear’s core markets, intensifying competitive pressure on $YOU’s airport identity-verification service.
Sheinbaum’s term runs through 2030, while ASR’s M&A could lift EBITDA growth above its usual 12 to 15% annual rate before Mexico’s 2029 election cycle.
@taobanker I half heartedly pitched $jd the week it bottomed with an apology attached to it for buying such a hated stock. Sure enough straight up
@valuedrift American $AAL whiffed earnings too.
$OXM Very strong holiday selling season based on credit card data & other trackers for core Tommy Bahama and Lilly Pulitzer brands w very minimal promotion or discounts vs modest consensus growth expectations. Stock at 9x EPS, will be providing prelim numbers at ICR in 2 weeks.
$DAKT Just announced a substantial new project win. Estimated to be $25M in revenue to Daktronics. Yankees, Dodgers, Cubs are among those exploring potential upgrades for next season, all of which are exisiting customers. https://t.co/dcn6TcQNr4
$NAPA Another senior manager just left. Company doesn't have a CEO, CFO nor apparently any senior members on its finance team now. Doesn't seem optimal given they are integrating a very large acquisition. https://t.co/lfyfru4WUM
$DKNG Basically just said at the Craig Hallum Conference they are going to miss Q4 guidance. CEO: "literally had the worst stretch of the year, the last few weeks...sometimes that happens where you issue your guidance...So we'll see."
Smith bought Amazon near its 2021 peak after years of criticizing its low margins, then sold in 2023 for a 40% loss.
Sometimes pattern recognition works $WEBC https://t.co/63FLQJ6YEJ
Allbirds' $BIRD ownership-change measure excludes founding Class B shares older than three years and counts changes by FMR, Ghost Angel, Vanguard, BlackRock and recent B-holder grants.
@valuedontlie I don't own $WEN, but following
Wendy’s $WEN gets a favorable restaurant-level review in Lee, New Hampshire, citing food quality, clean premises and quick service.
@orrdavid I don't own $WEN but I do see a powerful upside potential. Perhaps I am biased as it has been my favorite burger fast food restaurant for 35+ years (the only one my parents let us go to when I was a kid😂).
The funny part about the WSB action in $WEN is that they hit on a pretty compelling idea with a hugely skewed risk/reward. Thinking the bull case needs to be about "squeezing shorts" to "save Wendy's" or similar BS is absurd.
