Archive
Everything we have published
In the order it was published, newest first.
126 picks
Saturday, July 4 1 pick
Thursday, July 2 2 picks
ai The Reverse Crash: Why the S&P 500 is Headed Straight to 10,000 By 2027 | Erik YWR
Erik YWR forecasts the S&P 500 at 10,000 by 2027 as inflation lifts nominal assets, AI earnings accelerate and banks and exchanges regain momentum.
The Monetary Matters Network
ai Ex-Two Sigma Quant: Why You Should Bet Against Conviction
Former Two Sigma quant Omer Cedar explains how systematic funds turn discretionary signals and crowded consensus into alpha.
Odds on OpenWednesday, July 1 2 picks
aviation From Regional Jets to Cash and Nothing Else
A regional-jet company with missing filings trades below its cash balance.
The Value Road
data centers Two Near Net-Net Japanese Electrical Contractors at ~3.5x EV/EBIT with Industry Tailwinds
Japanese electrical contractors trade near net-net valuations at roughly 3.5x EV/EBIT, with data-center demand and Kodensha offering industry support.
Altay Capital - Mostly Value InvestingTuesday, June 30 1 pick
Monday, June 29 2 picks
ai Lessons From The First Great Depression You Never Were Taught | Liaquat Ahamed
Liaquat Ahamed links the 1873 crash and gold-driven deflation to today’s global AI investment boom, warning competition could produce poor returns…
The Monetary Matters Network
catalysts The June 30th Deadline That Could Re-Rate This Stock
A June 30 filing deadline could re-rate the stock, with the late filing framed as a bullish signal.
The Value RoadFriday, June 26 1 pick
Thursday, June 25 3 picks
ai Ex-Citadel Quant on Trading the Most Asymmetric Market - Neel Somani
Neel Somani explains how grid congestion, weather and outages create asymmetric power trades, then links AI data-center demand to infrastructure…
Odds on Open
consumer The Top Two Pitches I Heard in Vegas
A ceiling fan and a cheap pair of glasses were the top two investment pitches heard in Las Vegas.
The Value Road
ai Every Layer of AI Is Losing Money!
AI developers, compute providers and many customers are losing money as adoption rises; OpenAI’s 2025 spending reached $34 billion.
The Monetary Matters NetworkWednesday, June 24 1 pick
Tuesday, June 23 2 picks
ai OpenAI Lost HOW Much?! 😳
OpenAI reportedly generated over $13 billion of 2025 revenue while spending $34 billion, pushing losses toward $21 billion as AI infrastructure and…
The Monetary Matters Network
conferences My One-on-One Meeting Notes from Planet MicroCap 2026
Planet MicroCap 2026 drew investors, writers and companies from around the world to Las Vegas.
The Value RoadSunday, June 21 2 picks
ai Ed Zitron: The AI Bubble is Bleeding Cash, Here Are The Receipts
OpenAI lost $21 billion in 2025 as LLM training and inference costs outrun customer revenue, fueling claims that the AI boom is financially…
The Monetary Matters Network
interviews Idea Brunch with TripleS Special Situations
TripleS Special Situations discusses off-the-beaten-path investing ideas in an Idea Brunch interview.
Sunday's Idea BrunchThursday, June 18 1 pick
Monday, June 15 1 pick
Sunday, June 14 1 pick
Saturday, June 13 1 pick
Friday, June 12 2 picks
earnings A Hardware Multiple on a Software Powerhouse
A software powerhouse posts a record quarter while trading at a 52-week low, raising a valuation disconnect between its business model and market…
The Value Road
elections Why Prediction Markets Work Best With Binary Outcomes
Prediction markets work best for binary events such as elections, while S&P 500 bets are better expressed through direct trading of the underlying…
Odds on Open